Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Riverton, WY
Issued by NWS Riverton, WY
548
FNUS75 KRIW 171120
FWSRIW
Spot Forecast for Kinky Creek...US Forest Service
National Weather Service Riverton WY
520 AM MDT Fri Jul 17 2026
Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 MDT on July 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service
.DISCUSSION...
Monsoonal moisture will continue to move over the fire site the
next few days. Isolated showers will be around the fire site until
around 0900, with around a 15 to 20 percent chance of a wetting rain.
After a break during the mid morning hours, likely more numerous
showers and thunderstorms will be around, with another 20 percent
of a wetting rain. The most likely time for a shower or thunderstorm
(about a 50 percent chance) between 1400 and 2000. Wind should remain
light for the most part except in and around any shower or
thunderstorm. Mixing and smoke dispersal will be generally fair after
1200. There will be a chance of thunderstorms into early next week,
with the smallest chance on Monday.
...Thunderstorms imply strong gusty and erratic winds...
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) then becoming
partly sunny (45-55 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Isolated
showers until 0900, then showers likely
and a chance of thunderstorms after 1200.
CWR.................20 percent increasing to 40 percent in the
afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Chance of thunder...54 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 75.
Min humidity........46 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
near showers and thunderstorms.
Ridgetop wind.......South around 10 mph until 0700, then east at
10 mph until 1200, then southeast around 10 mph.
Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL until 1000, rising to 6500 ft AGL
after 1200.
Transport winds.....South to southeast 7 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 1200, then fair.
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........80 80 65 45 40 60 45 55 80 80 85 75
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY CHC CHC
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............20 20 10 0 0 0 30 30 30 30 30 30
Chc of pcpn (%).20 20 20 0 0 10 30 40 50 60 50 50
Chc of thdr (%).5 5 5 0 0 10 30 40 50 50 50 50
Temp............44 45 55 62 68 72 74 75 74 71 68 68
RH..............93 86 66 72 60 52 49 46 48 51 54 56
20 FT wind dir..S SW NE E SE SE SE SE N S NE E
20 FT wind spd..3 2 2 2 1 2 3 3 3 3 2 2
20 FT wind gust.5 5 5 5 6 6 6 7 7 8 8 7
Ridge wind dir..S SW NE E SE SE SE SE SE S SE SE
Ridge wind spd..10 5 5 5 5 5 10 10 10 10 10 10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.5 1.0 2.5 4.5 6.5 6.5 5.5 4.5 3.5 2.5
Transp wind dir.SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S SE S S
Transp wind spd.8 7 7 7 7 8 8 8 9 10 10 7
SDspl kt-ft/10004 4 4 6 15 33 44 46 45 39 30 15
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms until 2300.
CWR.................20 percent.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Chance of thunder...33 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 48.
Max humidity........88 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
near thunderstorms.
Ridgetop wind.......Light winds until 2000, then southeast around
10 mph until 2200, then southwest.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East to southeast around 7 mph until 2400,
then northwest 7 to 9 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........85 85 60 75 85 80 55 60 55 65 45 35
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............20 20 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chc of pcpn (%).50 40 50 40 30 20 10 10 0 0 0 0
Chc of thdr (%).30 30 30 20 20 20 10 10 0 0 0 0
Temp............64 64 60 57 55 53 52 52 51 51 49 49
RH..............60 62 69 77 82 84 84 79 82 85 87 87
20 FT wind dir..NE NW E S SW W S W W W SW SW
20 FT wind spd..2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2
20 FT wind gust.8 6 7 7 6 6 6 6 5 5 4 4
Ridge wind dir..E E E S SW W S W W W SW SW
Ridge wind spd..5 5 10 10 10 10 10 10 5 5 5 5
Mix hgt (kft)...1.5 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.SE SE SE S E E E NW NW NW NW NW
Transp wind spd.7 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 7 7 7 7
SDspl kt-ft/100011 7 8 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (30-40 percent). Rain showers
likely and chance of thunderstorms in the
afternoon.
CWR.................0 percent increasing to 38 percent in the
afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Chance of thunder...40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 75.
Min humidity........40 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
near thunderstorms.
Ridgetop wind.......Light winds until 1200, then northwest around
10 mph.
Mixing height.......2000 ft AGL until 1000, rising to 7000 ft AGL
after 1200, then 5000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 7 mph until 0900, then north to
northwest 7 to 13 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 1200, then becoming good.
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........25 25 20 15 25 40 55 50 45 30 30 30
Weather cov..... CHC LKY LKY CHC SCH
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 40 40 40 40 40 40
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 10 40 60 60 50 20
Chc of thdr (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 10 40 40 40 40 20
Temp............49 51 56 61 67 70 71 73 74 72 70 69
RH..............89 87 80 67 56 49 45 40 40 40 43 46
20 FT wind dir..SW NW NW NW NW NW NW W W W NW NW
20 FT wind spd..2 1 1 1 1 2 4 4 4 4 4 3
20 FT wind gust.4 4 2 2 5 7 10 10 10 10 10 10
Ridge wind dir..SW NW NW NW NW NW NW W W W NW NW
Ridge wind spd..5 5 5 5 5 5 10 10 10 10 10 10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 1.0 2.0 3.5 5.0 6.5 7.0 4.5 4.5 5.0 4.0
Transp wind dir.S NW NW W W W W W NW NW W N
Transp wind spd.7 6 6 6 7 8 9 12 12 9 13 10
SDspl kt-ft/10003 3 4 10 22 36 54 70 46 36 53 34
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...
Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the mid 70s. Light winds.
.MONDAY...
Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the upper 40s. Highs in the upper 70s. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows
around 50. Highs in the lower 70s. Light winds.
$$
Forecaster...Hattings
Requested by...Rylan Lynam
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2616984.9/RIW
.DELDT 07/17/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL james.hynes@usda.gov,rylan.lynam@usda.gov