847
FXUS61 KRLX 240635
AFDRLX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Charleston WV
235 AM EDT Sat Oct 24 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
No changes to the current forecast. Aviation discussion updated
for the ~06z TAF period.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...

1) Dry weather and comfortable afternoon temperatures remain
intact well into next week. Areas of dense fog are expected each
morning. Patchy frost is also possible each morning through
Monday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...

High pressure keeps the forecast largely unchanged. Dry weather
and comfortable afternoon temperatures, especially with a
gradual warming trend starting next week. The lowlands will be
in the mid 60s to low 70s, with mid 70s by the end of the week.
The mountains will be in the 50s to mid 60s. These temperatures
are around to slightly above the normal for the season.

Dew points will be a bit on the drier side with the lowlands
staying in the 40-50 range this week, while the mountains will
be in the 30-45 range. This will lead to dry RH values in the 30-50%
range each afternoon. Winds will be light or calm most of the
week though, so fire weather concerns will be low.

Areas of dense fog is expected each morning through the week
and patchy frost is also possible each morning through Monday,
mostly across the mountain valleys, but the northern lowlands
could see it Sunday night/Monday morning with overnight lows in
the mid to upper 30s.

A dry, backdoor cold front will approach the area Tuesday and
park across our northern periphery. Rain chances may return by
next weekend as a cold front approaches from the west.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...

VFR conditions prevail. Some areas of IFR river valley fog are
possible, mostly impacting CRW and PKB. Timing is between ~10z
and ~14z. Winds will be calm through the morning, then light and
variable this afternoon. A SE`rly increase occurs this evening
and overnight across the ridges of the mountains with gusts
between 7 and 12 knots.


FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY...

FORECAST CONFIDENCE: HIGH

ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: Timing, location, and impacts due to fog
formation may vary this morning.

EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY
OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION:
H = HIGH:   TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS.
L = LOW:    TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.

DATE                                        SAT 10/24/26
UTC 1HRLY       04   05   06   07   08   09   10   11   12   13   14   15
EDT 1HRLY       00   01   02   03   04   05   06   07   08   09   10   11
CRW CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    L    H    H    H
HTS CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H
BKW CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H
EKN CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    L    H    H    H
PKB CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    L    L    H    H
CKB CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H

AFTER 06Z SUNDAY...
River valley fog is expected each morning through the weekend
and into next week. IFR conditions or lower are possible with
any fog.

&&

.RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WV...None.
OH...None.
KY...None.
VA...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...LTC
AVIATION...LTC