376
FXUS61 KRLX 291647
AFDRLX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Charleston WV
1247 PM EDT Fri Aug 29 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
A moisture starved weak cold front passes through today.
Otherwise, mainly dry conditions except for the mountains
continue through Monday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 1210 PM Friday...

A weak moisture starved cold front will continue to push
southward through the area today. Although a shower or two can
not be ruled out with the front, most locations will remain dry.


A high pressure system will then build in behind the front for
tonight and Saturday, providing dry weather. Winds behind the
front should become light enough for some river valley fog to
form late tonight/early Saturday morning.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
As of 1245 PM Friday...

A high pressure system will gradually shift eastward through the
period. While dry conditions can be expected Saturday night and
Sunday morning, enough moisture may push into the mountains to
allow for some afternoon showers and thunderstorms Sunday and
Monday afternoons.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 1245 PM Friday...

Moisture will begin increasing on Tuesday as an upper level
trough approaches from the west. This will allow for a chance of
showers and thunderstorms for much of the area. The chances for
showers and thunderstorms increase on Wednesday afternoon and
evening as the upper level disturbance moves across the area.

A strong cold front will then push through the area Thursday or
Thursday night, with models varying a bit on the timing.

&&

.AVIATION /16Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 1210 PM Friday...

A weak moisture starved cold front will continue to push
southward through the area today. Although a shower or two can
not be ruled out with the front, most locations will remain dry.
Some MVFR clouds are possible at times along and behind the
front.

A high pressure system will bring VFR weather tonight and
Saturday, with the exception of dense river valley fog late
tonight/early Saturday morning.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY...

FORECAST CONFIDENCE: High.

ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: Timing of fog forming late tonight could
vary.

EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY
OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION:
H = HIGH:   TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS.
L = LOW:    TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.

UTC 1HRLY       16   17   18   19   20   21   22   23   00   01   02   03
EDT 1HRLY       12   13   14   15   16   17   18   19   20   21   22   23
CRW CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H
HTS CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H
BKW CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H
EKN CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H
PKB CONSISTENCY  H    H    M    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H
CKB CONSISTENCY  M    M    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H

AFTER 18Z SATURDAY...
IFR conditions possible in dense river valley fog each morning
through this weekend.

&&

.RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WV...None.
OH...None.
KY...None.
VA...None.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...RPY
NEAR TERM...RPY
SHORT TERM...RPY
LONG TERM...RPY
AVIATION...RPY