Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Blacksburg, VA

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935
FXUS61 KRNK 140551
AFDRNK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
151 AM EDT Mon Sep 14 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
Aviation updated.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Dry conditions through midweek, with rain chances late week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1: Dry conditions through midweek, with rain
chances late week.

Upper ridging will quickly build today behind a progressive
trough moving into the Atlantic. As a result, strong surface
high pressure will bring dry weather through at least Wednesday.
Ridging will begin to breakdown by Thursday and weak upper
disturbances will round the top of the ridge. This will begin
to introduce a daily chance for scattered afternoon rain/storms
through the weekend.

Temperatures remain elevated throughout the week, with 80s
across the mountains and lower 90s east of the mountains.
Overnight lows still mild...mainly in the low to mid 60s.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...

Could see some areas of lower stratus across the mountains this
morning. KBLF and KLWB will likely have the greatest potential
for a period of low cigs around daybreak, but currently not very
confident in this. Otherwise, should be VFR for all other
terminals.

Potentially some patchy fog in the valleys, mainly impacting
KLWB. This should dissipate by 14Z/9AM if it does form. After
that, skies will be mostly clear for the TAF period.

Winds northerly... 10 knots or less, with an occasional gust to
15 knots or so over the mountains.

Forecast confidence is high.

EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...

Mainly VFR expected through midweek, outside of any late night
fog at the usual places like LWB/BCB.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...None.
NC...None.
WV...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...BMG
AVIATION...AS/BMG