Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Blacksburg, VA
Issued by NWS Blacksburg, VA
904
FNUS71 KRNK 091053
FWSRNK
Spot Forecast for Bald Mountain...USFS
National Weather Service Blacksburg VA
553 AM EST Sun Nov 9 2025
Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 EST on November 09.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...
Warm temperatures today. Colder than normal temperatures
Monday and Tuesday. Winds Increasing.
A strong cold front will cross the mountains during the
afternoon and evening, bringing scattered showers and a
wind shift. Winds today will be from a southerly direction,
then shift to the northwest with the passage of the front
this evening. Behind the front, temperatures will turn
drastically colder for tonight and Monday in addition to
blustery northwest winds and snow flurries.
This will be some of the coldest air so far this season.
Temperatures in the 20s are expected Monday morning and
may dip into the teens Tuesday morning with wind chills
in the single digits. Water pumps need to be winterized.
Hoses should be drained.
For aviation...Near calm winds this morning will become
gusty out of the south and southwest this afternoon.
Passage of a strong cold front will bring a wind shift
from the northwest between 1600-1900. The main hazard
arrives with the passage of this front in the form of
moderate to severe low level turbulence which is
expected to continue for both Monday and Tuesday.
Mountain snow showers will also become a hazard for
Monday and Tuesday with potential for ridge obscurations.
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Slight chance of
rain showers.
CWR (0.01 in).......20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 65.
Min humidity........54 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 7 to 11 mph with gusts
to around 19 mph.
Mixing height.......4900 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........South 5 to 15 mph this morning, then increasing to
southwest 20 to 25 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (500 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to excellent (79500 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................2 early in the morning increasing to 77 in the
afternoon.
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........28 28 34 37 41 42 64 62 68 55 54 56
Weather cov..... SCH
Weather type.... RW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 10 10 20 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
Temp............47 47 49 54 58 61 63 64 63 62 59 54
RH..............77 79 83 75 67 62 57 54 56 54 56 61
20 FT wind dir..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W
20 FT wind spd..1 2 2 3 4 6 6 7 7 7 7 8
20 FT wind gust.6 6 7 10 11 14 17 18 19 19 18 19
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.3 0.3 0.6 1.6 2.4 4.7 4.9 4.8 3.8 3.4 1.7
Mixng wind dir..NW NW W SW S S SW SW SW W W W
Mixng wind spd..2 2 3 5 8 14 20 24 25 25 24 23
LVORI...........4 4 5 4 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
ADI.............2 2 3 5 17 41 58 74 77 68 62 39
VRate mph-ft/1K.1 1 1 3 13 33 91 119 122 96 82 38
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Slight chance of
rain showers early in the evening.
CWR (0.01 in).......20 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 32.
Max humidity........71 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 8 to 16 mph with gusts to
around 26 mph.
Mixing height.......1200 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........West 20 to 30 mph shifting to the northwest 28
to 35 mph late in the evening.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (59600 knot-ft) early in the evening
decreasing to fair (22700 knot-ft) late in the
night.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................19 to 43.
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........49 62 77 84 87 64 40 40 30 24 27 24
Weather cov..... SCH SCH SCH
Weather type.... RW RW RW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10 20 20 20 10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0
Temp............51 48 46 45 44 42 40 38 37 36 36 34
RH..............66 68 67 68 68 68 68 71 69 67 67 67
20 FT wind dir..W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT wind spd..8 9 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 10 10 10
20 FT wind gust.21 22 25 25 26 26 25 25 25 25 25 25
Mix hgt (kft)...1.2 1.4 1.7 1.7 1.6 2.0 2.2 1.8 1.6 1.5 1.7 1.8
Mixng wind dir..W W W W W W W NW NW NW NW NW
Mixng wind spd..21 21 23 25 29 31 32 32 31 30 29 28
LVORI...........3 3 3 3 3 1 1 3 3 3 3 3
ADI.............19 23 25 29 32 41 43 36 35 34 32 31
VRate mph-ft/1K.26 30 40 44 47 62 69 57 50 46 48 49
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (40-50 percent). Scattered
rain or snow showers.
CWR (0.01 in).......20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 37.
Min humidity........50 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts to
around 26 mph.
Mixing height.......3900 ft AGL.
Mixing winds........Northwest 23 to 28 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (22900 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to excellent (80500 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................31 early in the morning increasing to 82 in the
afternoon.
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........19 30 43 50 56 59 63 66 64 63 61 61
Weather cov.....SCT SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....SW RW RW RW SW SW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 20 20 20 20
Temp............33 33 33 34 35 35 36 36 35 34 33 31
RH..............67 68 69 64 58 54 52 51 50 51 53 56
20 FT wind dir..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT wind spd..10 10 11 11 10 10 9 9 9 9 9 10
20 FT wind gust.25 26 26 26 24 22 21 20 21 21 22 24
Mix hgt (kft)...1.4 1.0 2.3 2.7 3.1 3.5 3.7 3.9 3.7 3.4 3.2 2.8
Mixng wind dir..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
Mixng wind spd..26 26 26 28 28 26 24 23 24 25 26 28
LVORI...........1 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
ADI.............49 31 72 82 68 68 65 63 62 64 66 64
VRate mph-ft/1K.38 26 61 74 86 93 90 89 86 86 85 77
$$
Forecaster...Manuel
Requested by...Brian Borden
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2525454.0/RNK
.DELDT 11/09/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL vavic@firenet.gov,colten.moor@usda.gov