348
FXUS64 KSHV 072354
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
654 PM CDT Sun Jun 7 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1237 PM CDT Sun Jun 7 2026

 - Scattered thunderstorms may produce damaging winds and a
   tornado or two and result in flash flooding, coming to an end
   by late this evening.

 - Mostly dry conditions will prevail through much of the week
   ahead accompanied by returning heat. Heat indices may approach
   or exceed 100 degrees. Sensitive groups are advised to take
   precautions.

 - Showers and thunderstorms will increase again by the end of the
   week, continuing into next weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1237 PM CDT Sun Jun 7 2026

Scattered showers and thunderstorms this afternoon will continue
into the early evening, coming to an end by late this evening. Some
strong to severe thunderstorms remain possible, as well as heavy
rains leading to flooding. The upper level trough responsible for
this convection will lift north and east, taking significant
rainfall chances with it and leaving the ArkLaTex an opportunity to
dry out going into the new work week. Mild and muggy lows in the 70s
are expected throughout, with skies remaining mostly cloudy
overnight.

A few afternoon thunderstorms will be possible across our Louisiana
parishes tomorrow, with otherwise clearing skies and increasing
sunshine. With the departure of the upper level trough, ridging will
build in its place, suppressing widespread convective development
and favoring increasing temperatures. Highs will trend into the lower
90s tomorrow and Tuesday, remaining there through the course of the
extended forecast period. Combined with dew points remaining high
into the afternoon hours, this may result in heat indices
approaching and exceeding 100 degrees each afternoon, posing a
potential hazard to sensitive groups.

A few isolated sea breeze driven thunderstorms can`t be ruled out
across our southernmost counties and parishes wednesday and Thursday
afternoons, but rainfall will otherwise not make a return until an
upper level trough to our north sweeps a frontal boundary south
across the Plains, kicking up storms which look to impact our
northern zones late Thursday night into Friday morning, with this
warm and unsettled pattern continuing into next weekend.

/26/

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 649 PM CDT Sun Jun 7 2026

Isolated convection will linger through the rest of the evening
before conditions quiet down overnight. VFR ceilings this evening
will drop to MVFR (isolated areas of IFR are probable) overnight
and continue into Monday morning. Ceilings will then lift back to
VFR by the afternoon and eventually scatter out around 5kft-6kft.
Isolated convection expected on Monday, but coverage is too low to
include mention in the TAFs for this issuance. Gusty S winds this
evening will subside overnight 5-10kts and generally range from
10-12kts with periodic gusts near 20kts on Monday. Vsby reductions
(MVFR to IFR) from patchy fog will be possible overnight and
early Monday, especially around terminals where heavy rain fell on
Sunday.

CK

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 1237 PM CDT Sun Jun 7 2026

Spotter activation may be needed through this evening.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  89  76  91  75 /  50  10  20   0
MLU  89  77  91  75 /  40  20  20  10
DEQ  85  72  89  74 /  80  30  10   0
TXK  90  74  92  76 /  60  10  10   0
ELD  86  74  91  75 /  70  20  20   0
TYR  88  75  92  75 /  40   0  10   0
GGG  88  75  92  74 /  50   0  10   0
LFK  88  76  91  73 /  30  10  20   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&


$$

DISCUSSION...26
AVIATION...23