966
FXUS64 KSHV 120600
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1200 AM CST Wed Nov 12 2025

...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION...New SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1134 PM CST Tue Nov 11 2025

 - Warmer S/SW winds will very slowly increase our humidity this
   week, increasing back to rain producing levels early next week.

 - Air temperatures will continue to warm back to above average on
   lows early Wednesday with 50s and 60s by the weekend. Highs are
   there already and are soon to be back in the 80s for days.

 - Dry weather will continue to worsen our short term drought
   conditions, but prolonged needed rainfall arrives next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1134 PM CST Tue Nov 11 2025

We have clear skies and some fantastic views/pics of the Aurora
borealis with a good inversion up high at 3.5kft. May be
refracting some of the show and could be good again tonight. Our
temps have fallen below some forecast lows, so the grid is update
as are the zones in our "Rest of Tonight" lead. We will see
guidance get back to normal with the increasing humidity. This
will also help quell our wildfire danger in the coming days, but
not fully until the weekend. We are looking at S/SW winds today at
a good pace, but basically still recirculating modified
continental air for yesterday and some of today. The air will
moisten on the surface and in earnest in the SW flow aloft,
eventually.

The models are continuing the trend of slow to go on the offshore
low nearing the west coast this weekend. Until then, we will
continue to wait as a narrow air mass drops in and slows it down
this weekend. A 1030mb surface high will remain anchored in
Canada, but extend down the MS River Valley Sunday. We could see
some showers early next week as this air mass eventually backdoors
closer. However, the west coast upper low will have wheels behind
that narrow high as the upper ridge is a little more progressive
by then, allowing the low to dig better Pacific moisture on SW
flow coming our way with a really good chance for rainfall by the
middle of next week. /24/

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1134 PM CST Tue Nov 11 2025

For the 12/06Z TAF update, VFR vis/cigs are expected to prevail
through the period with southerly surface winds slackening below
10kts by the end of the period. Some low VFR SCT030 is likely by
12/12Z-18Z as winds continue to weaken. /16/

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 1159 PM CST Tues Nov 11 2025

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  70  49  78  57 /   0   0   0   0
MLU  63  44  76  54 /   0   0   0   0
DEQ  67  38  72  46 /   0   0   0   0
TXK  69  48  75  53 /   0   0   0   0
ELD  63  43  73  49 /   0   0   0   0
TYR  68  51  77  57 /   0   0   0   0
GGG  69  48  78  54 /   0   0   0   0
LFK  68  50  79  55 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&


$$

DISCUSSION...24
AVIATION...16