948
FXUS64 KSHV 041121
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
521 AM CST Thu Dec 4 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1234 AM CST Thu Dec 4 2025

 - Wet and chilly through Friday, with widespread rain, cool
   temperatures, and lingering clouds.

 - Dry conditions settle in late in the weekend, cool start to
   next week followed by a warming trend into the middle of the
   week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1234 AM CST Thu Dec 4 2025

Rainy and cooler conditions will dominate the near-term forecast
through Friday as a weather system brings widespread rainfall,
especially across the southeastern areas where totals may reach or
exceed one inch. Periods of rain are expected today that will
continue through tonight, with cool temperatures holding daytime
highs in the upper 40s and nighttime lows dropping into the
mid-30s or lower in some locations. Clouds and lingering light
rain or drizzle may persist into Friday morning, while
temperatures will struggle to rise much beyond the upper 40s to
near 50 degrees. Improvement arrives on Saturday as the rain
begins to move out, and skies gradually begin to clear. Highs will
rebound into the mid-50s, making for a noticeably more pleasant
day.

From Sunday into early next week, a drier and calmer pattern
begins to take over. Partly to mostly sunny skies are expected,
with daytime highs generally in the low to mid-50s. A colder air
mass will bring crisp nights, with lows falling into the upper 20s
to around 30 degrees Monday and Tuesday morning. By midweek,
temperatures will trend warmer again, climbing into the upper 50s
and low to mid-60s under continued dry conditions. Overall, after
a wet and chilly end to the workweek, we should be able to enjoy
sunny days, cold nights, and a gradual warming trend next week.
/33/

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 521 AM CST Thu Dec 4 2025

For the 04/12Z TAFs, while sustained moderate to heavy rainfall is
largely moving out of area airspace, lingering drizzle will still be
possible through the early morning hours at area terminals. CIGs
will remain low at LIFR and IFR levels through the morning,
potentially rising to near MVFR levels by midday before dropping
again ahead of new rounds of rainfall which will push in during the
afternoon, bringing associated VSBY deterioration impacts. After
this rainfall is done by late evening, CIGs may climb across
northern and western airspace, but guidance is still uncertain to
what extent. South and east, CIGs will remain low with lingering
drizzle chances through the end of this forecast period. Northeast
winds will continue at maximum sustained speeds of 8 to 12 kts with
gusts of up to 20 kts possible through the daylight hours, becoming
light and variable overnight.

/26/

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 1117 AM CST Tue Dec 2 2025

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  47  36  49  41 /  90  20  10  20
MLU  46  36  47  40 / 100  50  10  20
DEQ  43  28  49  32 /  40  10   0   0
TXK  44  32  48  38 /  60  10   0  10
ELD  41  29  46  33 /  80  20   0  10
TYR  46  35  51  41 /  80  10  10  10
GGG  46  33  51  39 /  90  10  10  20
LFK  50  37  51  41 /  90  20  20  20

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&


$$

DISCUSSION...33
AVIATION...26