756
FXUS64 KSHV 102331
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
631 PM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1219 PM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025

 - Dry and quiet conditions continue across the region as we head
   into the upcoming weekend.

 - Though temperatures are mild now, a slow climb back towards the
   lower 90`s is expected as we head into next week.

 - No measurable rainfall is currently expected through the next
   seven days.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1219 PM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025

The Four State Region remains stuck in the middle of two weather
systems across the CONUS. Between troughing across the SE CONUS
that will support the development of a coastal low along the Mid-
Atlantic states, and a large upper level disturbance approaching
the PNW, amplified ridging bisects the country, with local
influence expected to only increase as the ridge slides east
through the weekend. Locally, this will keep the region dry while
also allowing for afternoon highs to creep closer to 90 deg F for
the start of next week. The good news in this is that both
deterministic guidance and NBM output depict dew points to remain
in the upper 50`s to near 60 deg F. So while the actual
temperature may return to the 90`s, humidity will be tolerable.

Looking to next week, and as previously mentioned, the pattern
remains benign for the foreseeable future as the influence of the
ridge keeps the FA in a dry and warm state. While not normally
discussed in this portion, given the prolonged dry period, and a
noticeable uptick in local drought conditions, fire weather due to
low relative humidity and dry soils will need to be closely
monitored in the coming days. This concern will only increase as
the ridge remains parked overhead, with any chance for moisture
rounding the ridge on the western and northern side.

53

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 559 PM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025

For the 11/00z TAF update...VFR conditions are expected to prevail
throughout this TAF period with winds remaining mostly light and
variable throughout. Kept mention of FEW250 for most terminals
this evening. Moving towards morning, some lower clouds and
overcast skies will be possible for KTXK, KGGG, and KELD but will
remain well above MVFR conditions. Otherwise, no major concerns
for the skies during this period. /33/

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 1223 AM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  61  87  63  89 /   0   0   0   0
MLU  58  86  58  87 /   0   0   0   0
DEQ  58  84  57  86 /   0   0   0   0
TXK  60  89  61  90 /   0   0   0   0
ELD  55  84  56  85 /   0   0   0   0
TYR  60  88  62  89 /   0   0   0   0
GGG  58  87  60  88 /   0   0   0   0
LFK  58  89  60  88 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&


$$

DISCUSSION...53
AVIATION...33