582
FXUS64 KSHV 301729
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1129 AM CST Sun Nov 30 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1231 AM CST Sun Nov 30 2025

- A low-end chance of wintry precipitation is expected along and
  north of the I-30 corridor into south Arkansas on Monday and
  Tuesday mornings.

- Another round of precipitation is expected by the end of next
  week with precipitation totals of 1-2 inches likely.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 828 AM CST Sun Nov 30 2025

Updated spotter information statement for the possibility of some
wintry mixed precipitation on Monday morning in northern zones.

/19/

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1231 AM CST Sun Nov 30 2025

Precipitation is ongoing as rainfall across the Four State Region
at this time, shifting gradually eastward with most thunderstorms
well south of the I-20 corridor. Subsequent frontal passage by
tomorrow will introduce the coldest air of the season so far.
Combined with Pacific moisture aloft, guidance continues to
indicate increasing potential for wintry precipitation on , most
likely in the form of freezing rain (sleet cannot be ruled out).
While some uncertainty still remains, it is more in regards to the
wintry precipitation type instead of odds of its occurrence at all
(which is now up to the 40-50% range north of I-30). Temperatures
by Sunday, as the next air mass is ushered in with frontal
passage, will be back below normal into the first days of December
with maximums in the 50s, and minimums in the 20s-30s at the
coldest on Monday night before rebounding back to near-normal by
mid-week. Long-range guidance shows the pattern continuing with
yet another trough traversing the Intermountain West, exiting to a
confluence of Pacific moisture for precipitation returning by
late Wednesday. /16/

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1126 AM CST Sun Nov 30 2025

Lower cigs are slowly raising at the beginning of this period. A
persistant layer of cirrus will keep skies at least partly covered
through most of the period, with lower cloud cover creeping back
in overnight. Scattered rain showers will move in from the south
and become more widespread early tomorrow morning, which may
become wintry precip in our northern zones if temperatures drop
low enough overnight. Rain will last through the period and winds
will generally be northeasterly with gusts of 15+ mph possible.
/57/

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 828 AM CST Sun Nov 30 2025

Spotter activation is not expected at this time but may be needed
on Monday morning with precipitation returning, possibly in the
form of a brief wintry mix over northern portions of the region.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  48  38  43  33 /   0  20  70  60
MLU  48  36  42  32 /  10  20  80  70
DEQ  46  29  37  23 /   0  20  50  30
TXK  47  33  38  28 /   0  20  50  40
ELD  44  30  37  26 /   0  20  70  60
TYR  47  37  43  29 /   0  20  50  20
GGG  48  35  42  28 /   0  30  60  40
LFK  52  38  47  32 /  10  40  80  60

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&


$$

DISCUSSION...16
AVIATION...57