049
FXUS64 KSHV 070028
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
628 PM CST Sat Dec 6 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1114 PM CST Fri Dec 5 2025

 - Dry weather dominates: Expect significantly drier conditions
   for the entire week, with no widespread precipitation in the
   forecast for the area.

 - Temperatures will fluctuate, featuring a warm peak on Sunday, a
   cooler start to the week on Monday, followed by another warming
   trend into Thursday, and then cooler for next weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 954 AM CST Sat Dec 6 2025

Dreary conditions will temporarily clear out overnight tonight.
Despite the greater radiational cooling potential, low temeratures
will stay warm in the 40s. Clouds will return Sunday morning and
possibly bring a few more showers to our far southeastern zones
during the afternoon. A zonal to northwest flow pattern aloft
will keep conditions clear and dry once this cloud cover fully
clears out Sunday night thanks to a frontal passage.

Even with clear skies, temperature trends will vary through the
week next week. The same front that clears the clouds Sunday night
will bring a cooler airmass into the region. This airmass will keep
temperatures cool on Monday and Tuesday before a southerly wind
shift begins a warming trend over the following few days.
Afternoon temperatures could climb into the 70s in several areas
by Thursday. Another cold front is expected to move through the
Ark-La-Tx late Thursday night and knock temperatures back into the
40s and 50s for Friday. The most recent run of the NBM has taken
precip chances out of this last frontal passage, but there are
still plenty of model runs between then and now where things can
change.

57

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 623 PM CST Sat Dec 6 2025

For the 07/00Z TAF period, VFR conditions starting out this period
but rapidly deteriorating conditions are expected with IFR/LIFR
cigs and patchy dense fog reducing vsbys as early 08Z-09Z. These
unfavorable conditions will prevail through the remainder of the
period on Sunday with only slight improvement expected after 18Z.
Cigs may manage to climb into the low MVFR range by around 20Z-21Z
with fog gradually lifting late in the period as well as a cold
front advances through the region on Sunday. Winds will veer from
the E/SE to W/NW with fropa throughout the day as the cold front
makes southward progress through our airspace with speeds ranging
from 5-10 kts on average.

/19/


&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 641 AM CST Sat Dec 6 2025

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  47  62  38  54 /   0  10   0   0
MLU  43  59  38  52 /   0  20  10   0
DEQ  38  57  28  52 /   0   0   0   0
TXK  43  58  34  52 /   0  10   0   0
ELD  39  56  33  49 /   0  10   0   0
TYR  47  61  33  54 /   0   0   0   0
GGG  46  62  33  54 /   0  10   0   0
LFK  48  69  37  57 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&


$$

DISCUSSION...57
AVIATION...19