591
FXUS64 KSHV 261758 AAA
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1258 PM CDT Sat Sep 26 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1142 AM CDT Sat Sep 26 2026

 - Mainly dry conditions will continue through the weekend, with
   a warming trend developing and continuing into the work week.

 - Afternoon widely scattered showers and thunderstorms possible
   across northeast Texas, southwest Arkansas, and southeast
   Oklahoma on Sunday.

 - Widespread rainfall expected areawide Wednesday, continuing
   through the end of the week. A passing front may manage to
   bring temperatures slightly closer to seasonable values.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1134 AM CDT Sat Sep 26 2026

Upper-level ridge across the region to maintain dry conditions
today with temperatures forecast to climb into the lower 90s.
Ridge to shift southwest on Sunday with the ArkLaTex becoming
under the influence of northwest flow along the periphery of the
ridge. A weak frontal boundary across Oklahoma into north Arkansas
could allow for a few widely scattered showers and thunderstorms
across the I-30 corridor on Sunday afternoon. Otherwise,
subsidence associated with an approaching upper-ridge from the
west will drive afternoon high temperatures into the mid 90s
on Monday and Tuesday.

A broad-upper low across the Desert Southwest will bring southwest
flow across the ArkLaTex. The remnants of tropical cyclone Polo
in the Pacific will eject northeast introducing a prolonged rain
event across the ArkLaTex from late Tuesday through possibly
Friday. WPC Day 1-7 QPF indicates that the brunt of the rainfall,
producing near 3 inch totals, will occur across east and northeast
Texas as well as southeast Oklahoma while the remainder of the
ArkLaTex could see rainfall averages around 2 inches.

High temperatures on Thursday and Friday to average in the mid to
upper 80s with lows in the mid to upper 60s. /05/

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1258 PM CDT Sat Sep 26 2026

VFR conditions will continue through the 26/18Z TAF period. A weak
cu field has developed across portions of Deep E TX, N LA, and
SCntrl AR, and will persist through the afternoon beneath cirrus
cigs that will spread E across the region. Some of these elevated
cigs may lower a bit into a high based AC field over NE TX/SW AR,
before spreading SE across the remainder of Lower E TX/N LA/SCntrl
AR this evening. While these should thin from NW to SE later this
evening, cirrus cigs should linger overnight before thinning
during the morning Sunday. Another weak cu field should again
develop by late morning/midday across Lower E TX/N LA/Srn AR, as
the cirrus shield again increases from the NW. Vrb winds around
5kts this afternoon, except SSE across the Wrn sections of E TX,
will become Lt/Vrb or calm after 00Z. /15/

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 1142 AM CDT Sat Sep 26 2026

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

/05/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  68  95  71  94 /   0   0   0  10
MLU  65  93  66  94 /   0   0   0  10
DEQ  64  93  65  91 /   0  10  20  20
TXK  66  95  69  93 /   0   0  10  10
ELD  63  94  65  93 /   0   0   0  10
TYR  69  95  72  94 /   0   0  10  10
GGG  67  97  70  96 /   0   0  10  10
LFK  68  93  70  93 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&


$$

DISCUSSION...05
AVIATION...15