Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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Spot Forecast for San Augustine...texas state forestry
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1124 PM CDT Tue Oct 20 2026

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0000 CDT on October 21.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (318) 631-3669 ext. 241, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Temperature is falling closer to dew point, but RH is still low
for the hour. Winds on the surface vary from calm to light and
variable. Smoke dispersion will filter westward with transport
E/SE 5 to 10 mph up to an inversion near 5kft. We are expecting
RH to continue to rise as air temp continues to fall, but will
fall well short of saturation.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Temperature.........54 at forecast start...Min 50.
RH..................80 percent at forecast start...Max 89 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds north at 0 mph at forecast
                    start...otherwise Light winds.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL at forecast start...otherwise 400 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....East 6 to 8 mph.
Transport winds m/s.East 3 to 4 meters/second.
LVORI...............6.
Dispersion index....3.

TIME (CDT)      MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........41  20  7   3   2   2
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............54  53  51  50  50  50
RH..............80  83  86  89  86  83
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind mph..0   0   0   0   0   0
20 FT wind gust.3   3   3   3   3   5
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   NE
Transp wind spd.8   6   6   6   6   6
Trans wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   NE
Trans spd (m/s).4   3   3   3   3   3
Dispersion idx..3   3   2   2   3   3
LVORI...........5   5   5   6   6   5

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Temperature.........Max 80.
RH..................Min 29 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......4700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 8 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Northeast 2 to 4 meters/second.
LVORI...............3.
Dispersion index....6 increasing to 17 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 30 early in the afternoon
                    increasing to 41 late in the afternoon
                    decreasing to 26.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........1   2   1   0   1   2   2   2   2   2   3   3
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............50  50  50  55  63  70  74  78  79  79  80  79
RH..............80  77  77  72  56  46  38  32  31  30  30  30
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   E   E   E   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind mph..0   1   1   1   2   2   2   3   3   3   2   2
20 FT wind gust.5   6   6   6   6   8   9   10  10  10  10  9
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.3 0.4 1.0 2.1 3.5 4.2 4.4 4.7 4.6 4.3
Transp wind dir.E   E   NE  E   E   E   E   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
Transp wind spd.6   6   5   5   6   7   7   8   7   7   7   8
Trans wind dir..E   E   NE  E   E   E   E   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
Trans spd (m/s).3   3   2   2   3   3   3   4   3   3   3   4
Dispersion idx..5   6   4   4   7   17  30  40  44  42  37  26
LVORI...........4   4   3   3   3   2   1   1   1   1   1   1

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Temperature.........Min 51.
RH..................Max 83 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 3 to 6 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Northeast 1 to 3 meters/second.
LVORI...............4.
Dispersion index....13 decreasing to 2.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........7   6   6   6   5   10  10  7   5   4   8   5
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............76  71  63  60  58  57  55  55  54  53  52  52
RH..............37  44  58  64  69  69  77  77  80  83  83  83
20 FT wind dir..NE  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind mph..2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
20 FT wind gust.7   6   5   3   3   2   1   1   1   1   1   2
Mix hgt (kft)...0.9 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   NE  N
Transp wind spd.6   6   5   6   5   5   5   5   5   3   3   3
Trans wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   NE  N
Trans spd (m/s).3   3   2   3   2   2   2   2   2   1   1   1
Dispersion idx..13  3   0   0   2   2   2   2   2   1   2   2
LVORI...........2   2   2   3   3   3   4   5   5   5   6   5

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Temperature.........Max 83.
RH..................Min 28 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......5200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 8 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Northeast 2 to 4 meters/second.
LVORI...............3.
Dispersion index....6 increasing to 19 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 33 early in the afternoon
                    increasing to 48 late in the afternoon
                    decreasing to 34.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........2   5   1   0   2   2   2   2   3   3   5   6
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............51  51  51  59  69  75  78  82  82  82  82  81
RH..............83  80  83  69  51  40  36  31  29  29  31  30
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind mph..0   0   0   0   2   2   2   3   3   3   2   2
20 FT wind gust.3   5   5   5   6   8   9   9   9   10  10  9
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 1.0 2.3 3.7 4.7 5.1 5.2 5.2 4.9
Transp wind dir.N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
Transp wind spd.5   5   6   6   6   7   8   8   7   7   8   8
Trans wind dir..N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
Trans spd (m/s).2   2   3   3   3   3   4   4   3   3   4   4
Dispersion idx..3   4   4   4   8   19  33  44  51  52  48  34
LVORI...........5   4   4   3   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1

$$
Forecaster...CHATELAIN
Requested by...Burnett George
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2624212.0/SHV
.DELDT 10/21/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL csdispatch@tfs.tamu.edu