Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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FNUS74 KSHV 121532
FWSSHV

Spot Forecast for Holly...USFS
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1032 AM CDT Wed Aug 12 2026

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1100 CDT on August 12.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (318) 631-3669 ext. 241, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CDT FRIDAY...

.DISCUSSION...
Very hot and humid conditions are expected again this afternoon across the
wildfire location, with afternoon temperatures climbing into the upper 90s
while min RH`s fall to 40-45%. Look for resultant heat indices to range
between 104-107 degrees. 20ft winds will remain southwest 5-8 mph today, with
occasional gusts up to 15 mph possible. Winds will quickly diminish and become
light south after sunset, with good RH recovery expected around 85-90%. Similar
conditions are expected Thursday, although a tough hotter with min RH`s a bit
drier between 35-40%.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly Sunny (5-15 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Temperature.........88 at forecast start...Max 95.
RH..................64 percent at forecast start...Min 42 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds southwest at 5 mph at forecast
                    start...otherwise South winds around 5 mph.
Mixing height.......3200 ft AGL at forecast start...otherwise 7300
                    ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 12 to 15 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 5 to 7 meters/second.
LVORI...............2.
Dispersion index....68 increasing to 85 early in the afternoon,
                    then increasing to 99 early in the afternoon
                    increasing to 114 late in the afternoon
                    decreasing to 78.

TIME (CDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........1   7   15  23  17  17  21
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............88  91  93  95  96  97  97
RH..............64  56  53  48  45  42  42
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind mph..7   7   7   7   7   7   7
20 FT wind gust.15  14  14  14  14  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...3.2 4.1 5.4 6.3 7.1 7.3 7.0
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.15  15  15  14  14  13  12
Trans wind dir..SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S
Trans spd (m/s).7   7   7   6   6   6   5
Dispersion idx..68  85  99  113 118 110 78
LVORI...........2   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Temperature.........Min 74.
RH..................Max 93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 9 to 12 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 4 to 5 meters/second.
LVORI...............4.
Dispersion index....38 decreasing to 3.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........4      10     22     42     29     36
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............96     91     82     79     77     76
RH..............42     47     67     72     79     85
20 ft wind......S 6    S 2    S 1    S 1    S 2    S 3
20 ft wind gust.12
Mix hgt (ft)....4800   700    700    700    700    700
Transport wind..S 12   S 9    S 9    S 10   S 12   S 12
Tran wind (m/s).S 5    S 4    S 4    S 4    S 5    S 5
Dispersion idx..38     0      4      5      5      5
LVORI...........2      2      3      3      4      4

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Temperature.........Max 96.
RH..................Min 39 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south around 5 mph.
Mixing height.......6300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 16 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 4 to 7 meters/second.
LVORI...............3.
Dispersion index....8 increasing to 21 early in the morning, then
                    increasing to 36 late in the morning increasing
                    to 51 late in the morning increasing to 64
                    increasing to 77 early in the afternoon
                    increasing to 88 increasing to 105 early in the
                    afternoon increasing to 116 decreasing to 82
                    late in the afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........17     14     2      1      2      6
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............76     77     82     88     93     96
RH..............85     88     72     57     47     40
20 ft wind......S 3    S 5    SW 7   SW 7   S 7    S 7
20 ft wind gust.              15     15     15     15
Mix hgt (ft)....700    1400   2500   3600   5200   6300
Transport wind..S 10   SW 13  S 16   S 16   S 15   S 15
Tran wind (m/s).S 4    SW 6   S 7    S 7    S 7    S 7
Dispersion idx..5      21     51     77     105    114
LVORI...........5      4      2      1      1      1

$$

Forecaster...HANSFORD
Requested by...Luke Ballard
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2619530.0/SHV
.DELDT 08/12/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL araoc@firenet.gov