


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX
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231 FXUS64 KSJT 070545 AFDSJT Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Angelo TX 1245 AM CDT Tue Oct 7 2025 ...New SHORT TERM... .KEY MESSAGES... - Low chances (20%) for showers and a few thunderstorms this afternoon through Wednesday afternoon. && .SHORT TERM... (Today and tonight) Issued at 1244 AM CDT Tue Oct 7 2025 A weak cold front will move south across the Big Country in the early to mid-morning hours, and should reach a San Angelo to Richland Springs line by early afternoon. The front should then drift south to the I-10 corridor by early this evening. Southeast to east winds will shift to northeast with the frontal passage. The area generally south of an Ozona to Richland Springs line will have a possibility of isolated to widely scattered showers and thunderstorms this afternoon and early evening, ahead of the front and with its arrival. Temperatures will be several degrees cooler today in the Big Country, where highs in the 80s are expected. For areas farther south, temperatures will only be a few degrees cooler today with highs mostly in the mid to upper 80s. A few isolated showers or an isolated thunderstorm remain possible tonight in southern portions of our area (generally along/south of Interstate 10). Some cloud cover will remain over the area tonight, and overnight lows will be mostly in the 60-65 degree range. && .LONG TERM... (Wednesday through Monday) Issued at 1231 AM CDT Tue Oct 7 2025 Winds will remain out of the east/northeast behind Tuesday`s front. Low rain chances (<30%) will stick around through Wednesday afternoon. The best rain chances will be in the southern half of our area, near the I-10 corridor. The front is expected to stall near this area on Wednesday, providing weak surface convergence for the potential development of showers and thunderstorms. There is quite a bit of uncertainty in how much the front will effect the highs on Wednesday, with some models keeping temperatures in the upper 70s and others increasing them to near 90. Right now, we have highs in the middle of these solutions, but we may need to adjust highs as we get closer. The rest of the week will be relatively quiet weather- wise as the upper high builds back over the area. Rain chances remain very low for the rest of the week and temperatures will gradually warm into Sunday. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1220 AM CDT Tue Oct 7 2025 VFR conditions will prevail through the next 24 hours. A weak cold front will move south across the Big Country in the early to mid- morning hours, and should reach a San Angelo to Richland Springs line by early afternoon. The front should then drift south to the I-10 corridor by early this evening. Southeast to east winds will shift to northeast with the frontal passage. The southern third of the area will have a possibility of isolated to widely scattered showers this afternoon and early evening and a few thunderstorms ahead of the front and with its arrival. While this could potentially affect our southern terminals, low confidence in placement precludes a mention in the TAFs at this time. This will be reassessed going through the day today. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Abilene 89 63 86 65 / 0 10 0 0 San Angelo 88 63 85 62 / 10 10 10 0 Junction 88 64 86 62 / 20 20 20 0 Brownwood 90 63 87 62 / 10 10 10 0 Sweetwater 87 63 85 64 / 10 10 10 0 Ozona 87 65 84 64 / 20 20 30 0 Brady 86 65 85 64 / 20 10 10 0 && .SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...19 LONG TERM....AP AVIATION...19