311
FXUS64 KSJT 101853
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
1253 PM CST Wed Dec 10 2025

...New LONG TERM...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Breezy conditions this afternoon due to northeast winds of 15-25
  MPH with gusts around 30.

- Low temperatures expected to fall to around freezing tonight
  across the Concho Valley and Edwards Plateau.

- Cold frontal passage Saturday night with cooler temperatures
  Sunday.

- Dry forecast this week and during the weekend but a slight
  chance of showers (<20%) for Tuesday next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Thursday)
Issued at 1212 PM CST Wed Dec 10 2025

A cold front was making it`s way southward through west central
Texas this afternoon.  Breezy conditions were occurring behind the
front with northeast winds of 15-25 MPH.  The front will progress
all the way to deep south Texas by this evening and winds should
decrease after sunset as surface high pressure moves in.  Skies are
expected to remain clear and the area of high pressure will be
centered over the Concho Valley overnight.  Therefore, an ideal
radiational cooling night is expected with temperatures dropping to
the low to mid 30s. However, most of the Big Country could remain in
the upper 30s to around 40 where winds will still be 5-10 MPH. The
area of high pressure will move southeastward tomorrow and lee-side
troughing should develop over the High Plains through the day. As a
result, a quick recovery to around 70 degrees is anticipated for the
afternoon as southwest winds of 15-20 MPH should advect warm air
back into the region.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday night through next Wednesday)
Issued at 1236 PM CST Wed Dec 10 2025

Above normal temperatures will persist through this weekend, when
the next upper-level trough and associated cold front is expected
to track through the area on Saturday into Sunday. Afternoon high
temperatures leading up to this cold front will be in the upper
60s to mid 70s, then dropping into the upper 40s to upper 50s on
Sunday behind the cold front. Temperatures will gradually rise
again into the 60s and 70s Monday through Wednesday next week.
Some models are showing a second upper-level trough tracking into
the region next Tuesday, with the GFS and ECMWF showing a few
showers developing across the I-10 corridor and our southeastern-
most counties Tuesday afternoon into late Tuesday night.
Confidence remains low at this point, so we will continue to keep
little to no precipitation in the forecast for the time being, but
we will continue to monitor if rain chances increase.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1123 AM CST Wed Dec 10 2025

Breezy conditions are expected to continue from the northeast this
afternoon with gusts over 30KT at times. Wind speeds should
quickly decrease after sunset to around 5KT and become light and
variable overnight. Otherwise, VFR conditions are expected through
18Z Thursday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     36  70  47  70 /   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  31  70  44  72 /   0   0   0   0
Junction    31  71  42  78 /   0   0   0   0
Brownwood   30  69  40  72 /   0   0   0   0
Sweetwater  40  71  46  68 /   0   0   0   0
Ozona       32  68  40  75 /   0   0   0   0
Brady       36  69  45  73 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...SK
LONG TERM....TP
AVIATION...SK