419
FXUS64 KSJT 190736
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
236 AM CDT Sat Sep 19 2026

...New SHORT TERM...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Hot and mainly dry conditions will continue again today.
  Isolated showers and storms possible over far western counties
  this afternoon and evening.

- Low to medium (20-50%) rain chances return late Sunday into mid
  next week, with daily highs less hot but more likely staying
  above normal.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 237 AM CDT Sat Sep 19 2026

Upper level high pressure will be centered over east Texas through
tonight, with West Central Texas remaining on the western
periphery of the upper high. Temperatures will remain above
normal again today, with afternoon highs in the mid to upper 90s,
with a few readings reaching 100 degrees across the Big Country.
Cannot rule out an isolated shower or thunderstorm over far
western counties late this afternoon and evening, but most, if not
all of the convection should remain west of the area today. Warm
conditions will prevail again tonight, with overnight lows in the
70s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday through Friday)
Issued at 1257 AM CDT Sat Sep 19 2026

By Sunday and Monday, a couple of embedded disturbances aloft
will cruise through the region. This will act to weaken the ridge
and allow for a medium chance (30-50%) for rain. An isolated
strong to severe thunderstorm cannot be completely ruled out
across the northern Big Country on Sunday afternoon and evening.
The main hazards would be large hail (1" diameter) and damaging
winds (60-70 MPH). Otherwise, a weak cold frontal boundary may be
just strong enough to drop temperatures a few degrees early next
week. By Tuesday, we may see highs in the upper 80s to lower 90s.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 627 PM CDT Fri Sep 18 2026

A few light showers have developed early this evening along
portions of I-10, but these will be inconsequential for our TAF
sites. Southeast winds this evening will become south overnight
with wind speeds decreasing. A gust to 15 knots is possible
initially this evening (00Z-01Z). On Saturday, south or south-
southwest winds will increase to 8-10 knots by mid morning. These
wind speeds will continue in the afternoon with winds becoming
south-southeast by late afternoon and early evening. Overall, VFR
conditions mostly clear skies are expected to prevail. The
exception is over some of our southern and southeastern counties,
where patchy low cloud development is anticipated early Saturday
morning. These clouds will have MVFR ceilings, and the KJCT TAF
site should be affected in the 12Z-15Z time frame.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     99  77  98  71 /   0  10  40  50
San Angelo  97  73  98  70 /   0  10  30  50
Junction    96  71  97  69 /   0  10  20  40
Brownwood   97  72  98  69 /   0   0  30  40
Sweetwater  99  76  99  71 /   0  20  40  40
Ozona       94  71  95  69 /   0  10  20  30
Brady       95  71  96  69 /   0   0  20  50

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...24
LONG TERM....41
AVIATION...19