226
FXUS64 KSJT 291128
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
528 AM CST Sat Nov 29 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

-  Gusty north-northeast winds are expected this evening and
   Saturday night following a cold frontal passage.

-  Colder temperatures on Sunday, with temperatures remaining
   below normal through the early part of next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 220 AM CST Sat Nov 29 2025

Early this morning, a widespread stratus deck was firmly entrenched
across much of the state with temperatures in the upper 50s to low
60s. A developing low pressure system over the central Plains was
resulting in strong southerly flow which is bringing in plenty of
low-level moisture to the region. Thermal mixing will increase and
cloud cover should gradually break up through the morning, although
total clearing is not expected. The surface low will move eastward
by early afternoon and drag a cold front into the Big Country. High
temperatures are expected to reach to around 70 but will depend on
how quickly the front moves southward and on any lingering cloud
cover.  If the front moves in much earlier, areas north of
Interstate 20 may not get above the mid 60s.  This evening, the
front should continue quickly southward and shift winds out of the
northeast. Some light showers and/or drizzle are possible along the
front, but there is not much support available aloft for more
widespread showers. Behind the front, northeast winds of 10-15 MPH
should advect in much colder air.  As a result, temperatures should
drop into the 40s after midnight and into the 30s by sunrise. Some
locations in the Big Country will drop below freezing.  These cold
temperatures, combined with the winds, will produce wind chills in
the mid 20s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday through Friday)
Issued at 1202 AM CST Sat Nov 29 2025

Sunday will be colder and afternoon highs will range from the lower
40s in some of our northern counties, to the upper 40s in the far
southeastern part of our area. Skies will be partly to mostly
cloudy, and northeast winds will gradually decrease through the day.
Increased cloud cover Sunday night will limit overnight lows to the
lower to mid 30s.

With increased low/mid level moisture and some lift, a few light
rain showers will be possible early Monday morning to midday in far
eastern and southeastern portions of the area (generally east of a
Cross Plains to Junction line). With winds veering to south and
southwest, temperatures will be comparatively warmer Monday. Highs
will range from the 50-53 in our far northeast and eastern
counties where cloud cover lingers longer into the day, to the
upper 50s in the western Concho Valley and along the I-10
corridor.

With an upper trough forecast to move east-southeast across the
central/southern Plains Monday, a weaker cold front will move south
across the Big Country Monday evening, and across the rest of our
area early Monday night. After a cold start to the day Tuesday
(morning lows mostly in the mid 20s to lower 30s), afternoon highs
will be in the mid 50s to lower 60s as winds become south.

Warmer temperatures will follow on Wednesday (highs mostly in mid to
upper 60s) with partly cloudy skies and south to southwest winds. An
upper trough is progged to move across the northern and central
Plains, and extend southwest to the Four Corners area on Wednesday.
This will push another cold front south across our area Wednesday
evening into the overnight hours. Somewhat gusty north-northeast
winds will follow passage of this cold front and continue into the
day Thursday.

Temperatures will be much cooler Thursday with highs ranging from
the mid 50s north to lower 60s south. Skies will be mostly cloudy.
Much of our area will have low rain chances (20-30 percent) Thursday
into Thursday night, when an overrunning pattern may try to develop
with an upper trough over the southwestern CONUS.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 528 AM CST Sat Nov 29 2025

MVFR to IFR conditions are currently socked in for most locations.
Ceilings will improve to VFR between 14Z and 18Z with increasing
southerly winds at 10-15 MPH. Ceilings and vis should continue to
improve through early afternoon. After the front comes through,
winds should shift out of the northwest, then become north at 15-20
MPH.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     72  30  45  34 /   0   0   0  10
San Angelo  75  32  45  34 /   0   0   0  10
Junction    74  35  49  34 /   0  10   0  10
Brownwood   73  31  45  33 /  10  10   0  10
Sweetwater  71  30  43  34 /   0   0   0  10
Ozona       73  35  45  36 /   0   0   0  10
Brady       73  34  45  35 /  10  10   0  10

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...SK
LONG TERM....19
AVIATION...SK