Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Salt Lake City, UT
Issued by NWS Salt Lake City, UT
075 FXUS65 KSLC 132246 AFDSLC Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Salt Lake City UT 346 PM MST Fri Feb 13 2026 .KEY MESSAGES... - Isolated showers will dissipate by the evening as high pressure moves in. - After dry and mild conditions move in for the weekend, a more active pattern will develop for Utah and southwest Wyoming beginning Monday as a series of storm systems impact the area. Mountain snow could be potentially significant, with valley accumulations looking increasingly likely. && .DISCUSSION...A low pressure system is moving east across the Desert Southwest this afternoon, keeping a relatively cool and unstable airmass over Utah and southwest Wyoming. This has resulted in a few light showers, primarily over the higher terrain and over southeast Utah. Overall coverage is noticeably less than what was expected, perhaps in part due to earlier stratus that has mostly diminished. As the low continues east, Pacific high pressure will rapidly build into the Great Basin, with the ridge axis moving overhead by Saturday afternoon. This will bring a period of dry and increasingly mild conditions over the weekend, with high temperatures averaging around 10F above seasonal normals by Sunday afternoon. By late Sunday, there is high confidence that the ridge will have tracked east of the area, opening up the Pacific coast to a series of storm systems that will bring impacts to Utah and southwest Wyoming during the upcoming week. It is looking increasingly likely that a one-two punch of storm systems later Monday through early Thursday will bring the potential for significant snow to all the mountains of Utah as well as some perhaps long awaiting accumulations in the valleys (except for those over far southern Utah). There still remains noticeable spread with regard to the timing, track, and associated moisture with the systems and thus the potential accumulations and snow levels. However, confidence is increasing that these systems will be both colder and more moisture rich than those impacting the area as of recent. && .AVIATION...KSLC...VFR conditions with continually eroding cloud cover will continue through the TAF period. Winds will generally remain out of the south starting early tomorrow morning with a brief diurnal switch to northwesterly around 22z which may be short lived before southerlies return. .REST OF UTAH AND SOUTHWEST WYOMING...VFR conditions can be expected across the majority of our terminals through the TAF period outside of KEVW and KLGU. Fog and perhaps low CIGs will develop in the morning hours bringing MVFR conditions to the two sites. There is a 20-30% chance both sites see visibilities drop to 1SM or less with the highest confidence of this occurring at KLGU. Conditions will improve shortly after sunrise. && .SLC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... UT...None. WY...None. && $$ PUBLIC...Traphagan AVIATION...Worster For more information from NOAA`s National Weather Service visit... http://weather.gov/saltlakecity