Prognostic Meteorological Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
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220 FXUS01 KWBC 070801 PMDSPD Short Range Forecast Discussion NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 301 AM EST Sun Dec 07 2025 Valid 12Z Sun Dec 07 2025 - 12Z Tue Dec 09 2025 ...Prolonged atmospheric river brings heavy rain and snow to the Pacific Northwest beginning tomorrow... As the weekend comes to a close, a series of atmospheric rivers set to impact the Pacific Northwest should dominate weather headlines for the next few days. An initial wave of moderate rainfall is forecast to impact coastal Washington and Oregon today along a weakening frontal system. While this first bout of rainfall will be fairly benign, it will serve to saturate soils ahead of a prolonged round of heavy rainfall which begins tomorrow morning. As such, the latest Excessive Rainfall forecast depicts a Slight Risk over the Pacific Northwest on Monday, where scattered instances of flooding are possible. Heavy rainfall is expected to continue through midweek as atmospheric river conditions continue, so stay tuned as subsequent forecast days fall into the short range. Rainfall aside, the impending atmospheric rivers should lead to high elevation snowfall in the Cascades and Northern Rockies, where snowfall could eclipse a foot above 6000-7000 feet. For the rest of the Lower 48, fairly benign weather should persist as transitory cold and dry high pressure migrates across across the Central and Eastern U.S. Locally heavy rainfall is possible in northern Florida today ahead of a returning polar front, although this will be largely beneficial with much of the region in drought conditions. As the aforementioned high pressure migrates eastward, portions of the Plains will drastically warm up over the next several days too, leading to high temperatures in the 50`s and 60`s in the Heartland by Tuesday (roughly 20 degrees above average). Asherman Graphics available at https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php $$