Prognostic Meteorological Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
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764 FXUS01 KWBC 290710 PMDSPD Short Range Forecast Discussion NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 309 AM EDT Thu Oct 29 2026 Valid 12Z Thu Oct 29 2026 - 12Z Sat Oct 31 2026 ...Snow will develop over parts of the higher elevations of the Cascades, Northern Intermountain Region/Northern Rockies on Thursday, tapering off on Friday... ...There is a Slight Risk of excessive rainfall over parts of the Southern High Plains on Thursday and over parts of the Southwest on Friday and Saturday... A quasi-stationary area of low pressure just off the Pacific Northwest Coast will stream moisture into the Northwest Coast, producing rain and highestelevation snow over the Cascades and Northern Intermountain Region on Thursday into Friday evening. Furthermore, a front extending from the Upper Great Lakes to the Southern High Plains will advance eastward off the Northeast Coast by Friday evening. The system will produce rain with embedded thunderstorms over the Upper Great Lakes and rain over the Lower Great Lakes through late Thursday night. Additionally, scattered light rain showers will develop over parts of the Northeast through Friday evening. Easterly flow off the Atlantic will bring rain with embedded thunderstorms over parts of Florida through Saturday. In addition, upper-level energy will move over the Southern High Plains, creating heavy rain over the region Thursday into Friday. Therefore, the WPC has issued a Slight Risk (level 2/4) of excessive rainfall over the Southern High Plains with these thunderstorms on Thursday through Friday morning. The associated heavy rain will create mainly localized areas of flash flooding, with urban areas, roads, small streams, narrow canyons/gullies, and burn scars the most vulnerable. Moreover, flow off the Gulf of California and upper-level energy will aid in producing showers and thunderstorms with heavy rain over the Southwest on Friday. The WPC has issued a Slight Risk (level 2/4) of excessive rainfall over the Southwest with these thunderstorms on Friday through Saturday morning. The associated heavy rain will create mainly localized areas of flash flooding, with urban areas, roads, small streams, narrow canyons/gullies, and burn scars the most vulnerable. Flow off the Gulf of California will continue on Saturday, creating heavy rain over parts of the Southwest and far southeastern California. Therefore, the WPC has issued a Slight Risk (level 2/4) of excessive rainfall over parts of the Southwest and far southeastern California on Saturday into Sunday morning. In addition, as moisture moves northward over the Great Basin, rain with high-elevation snow will develop over parts of the Great Basin, the Northern Intermountain Region, and the Central Rockies from Friday into Saturday morning. Ziegenfelder Graphics available at https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php $$