Prognostic Meteorological Discussion
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184
FXUS01 KWBC 281812
PMDSPD

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
211 PM EDT Thu Aug 28 2025

Valid 00Z Fri Aug 29 2025 - 00Z Sun Aug 31 2025

...Cool weather pattern continues for most areas to then east of
the Rockies, except for South Texas, northern North Dakota and
northern Minnesota...

...Above average temperatures persist across the Pacific Northwest
and northern Great Basin...

...Wet weather likely across much of the Plains and across the
Gulf coast into Florida...

Large portions of the Lower 48 will see below average temperature
for the end of the work week going into the Labor Day weekend.  A
stronger than average mid to upper level low centered over
southern QB and extending south into the Northeast will help
deliver a reinforcing shot of cool air from the Great Lakes into
the Mid-Atlantic and the Northeast over the next few days.  High
temperatures across these regions are expected to be 10 or more
degrees below average.

A second, broader area of below average temperatures expected to
stretch through nearly all of the Plains and eastward across the
Lower Mississippi Valley and into the Southeast.  This area of
below average temperatures is in association with a wet weather
pattern expected across this area over the next few days.
Precipitation will be focusing in the vicinity of a nearly
stationary frontal boundary across these regions.  Moisture values
are expected to continue to remain much above average in the
vicinity of this front, supporting the potential for areas of
heavy rains and localized flooding.

Warmer than average temperatures to the east of the Rockies will
be confined to South Texas and across areas of northern North
Dakota and northern Minnesota.  Areas across South Texas will
remain on the warm side of the stationary frontal boundary across
the Southern Plains, while areas of North Dakota and northern
Minnesota will be away from the active precipitation pattern and
cloud cover expected across the remainder of the Plains and to the
west of the core of the cool air dropping into the Great Lakes and
Northeast.  More widespread above average temperatures will
continue across the Pacific Northwest into the Northern Great
Basin.  While no record high temperatures are forecast for this
region over the next several days, the high temperatures are still
expected to be between 6 and 12+ degrees above average.


Oravec

Graphics available at
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php
$$