


Prognostic Meteorological Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
184 FXUS01 KWBC 281812 PMDSPD Short Range Forecast Discussion NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 211 PM EDT Thu Aug 28 2025 Valid 00Z Fri Aug 29 2025 - 00Z Sun Aug 31 2025 ...Cool weather pattern continues for most areas to then east of the Rockies, except for South Texas, northern North Dakota and northern Minnesota... ...Above average temperatures persist across the Pacific Northwest and northern Great Basin... ...Wet weather likely across much of the Plains and across the Gulf coast into Florida... Large portions of the Lower 48 will see below average temperature for the end of the work week going into the Labor Day weekend. A stronger than average mid to upper level low centered over southern QB and extending south into the Northeast will help deliver a reinforcing shot of cool air from the Great Lakes into the Mid-Atlantic and the Northeast over the next few days. High temperatures across these regions are expected to be 10 or more degrees below average. A second, broader area of below average temperatures expected to stretch through nearly all of the Plains and eastward across the Lower Mississippi Valley and into the Southeast. This area of below average temperatures is in association with a wet weather pattern expected across this area over the next few days. Precipitation will be focusing in the vicinity of a nearly stationary frontal boundary across these regions. Moisture values are expected to continue to remain much above average in the vicinity of this front, supporting the potential for areas of heavy rains and localized flooding. Warmer than average temperatures to the east of the Rockies will be confined to South Texas and across areas of northern North Dakota and northern Minnesota. Areas across South Texas will remain on the warm side of the stationary frontal boundary across the Southern Plains, while areas of North Dakota and northern Minnesota will be away from the active precipitation pattern and cloud cover expected across the remainder of the Plains and to the west of the core of the cool air dropping into the Great Lakes and Northeast. More widespread above average temperatures will continue across the Pacific Northwest into the Northern Great Basin. While no record high temperatures are forecast for this region over the next several days, the high temperatures are still expected to be between 6 and 12+ degrees above average. Oravec Graphics available at https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php $$