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543
FNUS72 KTAE 131000
FWSTAE

Spot Forecast for SMR 135...Usfws
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
600 AM EDT Thu Jun 13 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on June 13.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (850) 942-8833, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Tricky forecast wind wise this afternoon but prevailing flow in
the morning will be out of the northeast at the burn site around 5
mph. Late in the morning and into the afternoon north and
northeasterly winds surface will potentially lighten at the site
as the seabreeze attempts to form but it`s likely winds stay
northerly and/or gradually slow and turn northwest in the
afternoon. Despite the surface winds becoming light and variable
this afternoon, transport winds should remain out of the north and
northeast through the day around 8 to 10 mph. Isolated/scattered
showers and thunderstorms are possible at the burn site, mostly
after 1 or 2pm if they develop, though the highest coverage for
storms is generally southeast and west of the burn site. Brief
gusty and erratic winds are possible near thunderstorms this
afternoon if they develop. Storm activity quickly diminishes
before sunset with light easterly flow expected overnight.


.REST OF TODAY...
TIME (EDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........15  17  14  12  12  16  18  16  20
Weather cov.....        SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC SCH
Weather type....        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........        SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC SCH
CWR.............10  10  20  20  20  30  30  30  20
LAL.............1   1   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
Temp............79  84  87  90  92  93  93  93  93
RH..............88  74  63  56  51  47  47  47  46
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  N   N   NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..3   3   5   4   5   4   4   3   2
20 FT wind gust.8   8   8   8   9   9   9   9   9
Mix hgt (kft)...1.7 2.4 3.2 3.9 4.6 5.3 4.8 4.3 3.8
Transp wind dir.E   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  N   N
Transp wind spd.8   7   7   7   8   8   8   8   7
Dispersion......17  22  27  33  43  50  48  45  40
LVORI...........4   3   2   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...
TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........20  21  25  19  16  13  6   7   5   5   6   7
Weather cov.....SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH
CWR.............20  20  10  10  10  10  10  10  0   0   0   0
LAL.............2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............92  91  88  84  82  80  78  76  75  75  74  74
RH..............49  52  57  67  72  72  76  82  84  87  90  87
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  W   NW  NW  N   N   NE  E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..3   3   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
20 FT wind gust.9   9   9   8   8   8   8   9   9   8   7   7
Mix hgt (kft)...2.8 1.8 0.9 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.N   NW  W   NW  N   N   N   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.7   6   6   6   6   7   7   8   8   8   7   6
Dispersion......27  16  3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   3   3
LVORI...........2   2   3   3   3   3   3   4   5   5   6   6

.FRIDAY...
TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........6   9   2   1   2   2   4   7   9   9   10  10
Weather cov.....                                SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....                                RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                                SCH SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............0   0   10  10  10  10  10  10  20  20  20  20
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   2   2   2   2
Temp............73  73  75  80  86  89  91  93  93  94  94  94
RH..............90  93  90  79  68  59  54  49  47  46  47  47
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  S   S
20 FT wind spd..1   1   1   1   1   2   3   3   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.7   7   7   7   7   8   8   9   9   9   10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.7 0.8 2.0 3.3 4.6 4.8 5.0 5.2 5.0 4.8 4.6
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   NE  NE  E   S   S
Transp wind spd.6   6   6   7   8   8   8   8   7   7   8   8
Dispersion......3   3   6   16  30  44  46  45  44  43  43  43
LVORI...........6   6   5   4   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

$$
Forecaster...Dobbs
Requested by...J Havird
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2416082.0/TAE
.DELDT 06/13/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL joshua_havird@fws.gov