Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL
972 FXUS62 KTBW 170055 AFDTBW Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 755 PM EST Sun Nov 16 2025 ...New UPDATE, AVIATION, MARINE... .KEY MESSAGES... - Patchy to areas of fog possible tonight. - Sunny, dry, and gradually warming conditions continue into next week. - Benign marine conditions over the eastern Gulf waters. && .UPDATE... Issued at 752 PM EST Sun Nov 16 2025 It has been another nice day across west central and southwest Florida as high pressure in the Gulf remains in control. Mostly sunny skies and near average temperatures were observed through the day with daytime highs topping out in the upper 70`s to low 80`s. Partly cloudy skies and mild temperatures in the mid 50`s to around 60 expected overnight. Patchy to areas of fog possible during the early morning hours. The fog will burn off by mid-morning with another nice day with mostly sunny skies and seasonal temperatures expected on Monday. Updated the forecast with increasing chances and coverage of fog during the early morning hours. No other changes needed at this time. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 752 PM EST Sun Nov 16 2025 VFR conditions and light and variable winds expected through midnight, then models are developing some fog over most of the terminals. Will cover this with MVFR BR restricting VSBY down to 3-4 miles for now, but will be closely monitoring during the early morning hours for possible lower VSBY in FG. Conditions improve around 14-15Z with VFR and winds less than 10 knots expected through the day on Monday. && .MARINE... Issued at 752 PM EST Sun Nov 16 2025 Pleasant boating conditions with light winds 10 knots or less and seas less than 2 feet expected into next week as dry high pressure remains in control. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... TPA 65 82 64 83 / 0 0 0 0 FMY 61 81 62 84 / 0 0 0 0 GIF 60 83 60 83 / 0 0 0 0 SRQ 63 80 61 83 / 0 0 0 0 BKV 57 82 54 83 / 0 0 0 0 SPG 66 78 66 80 / 0 0 0 0 && .TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. Gulf waters...None. && $$ UPDATE/AVIATION/MARINE...Wynn DECISION SUPPORT/UPPER AIR/CLIMATE...Oglesby