Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL
132 FXUS62 KTBW 080529 AFDTBW Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 1229 AM EST Mon Dec 8 2025 ...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER... .KEY MESSAGES... - Scattered showers through Monday morning - Hazardous marine conditions late Monday into Tuesday. - Cooler and drier conditions return early next week. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1208 AM EST Mon Dec 8 2025 A line of showers and isolated thunderstorms that pushed across west central Florida this evening is currently across southwest Florida. The band is beginning to lay out east/west which has slowed the lines push to the south...and the line will likely become quasi-stationary during the next couple of hours just south of the forecast area. The main cold front remains north of the forecast area...and will push across the Florida peninsula on Monday. Scattered showers will persist across the forecast area ahead of the front through the morning hours. High pressure will build over the region Monday night and Tuesday in the wake of the front with skies clearing from north to south and drier cooler air will advect across the region. The area of high pressure will hold over the forecast area for the remainder of the week with temperatures around climatic normals each day under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1208 AM EST Mon Dec 8 2025 Widespread MVFR CIGs the remainder of the night and Monday morning will impact all terminals. Scattered showers will continue across west central and southwest Florida through Monday morning and may briefly impact terminals. Local IFR CIGs will develop a few hours before sunrise with the best chance of impacting TPA/PIE/SRQ/LAL. Cigs will lift by Monday afternoon with VFR CIGs the remainder of the day at all terminals. && .MARINE... Issued at 1208 AM EST Mon Dec 8 2025 A cold front will push across the waters early today with winds shifting to the north to northwest, and will increase to cautionary levels late today and tonight. Winds/seas will subside Tuesday and Tuesday night. High pressure will hold over the waters through the remainder of the week with no headlines expected. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 1208 AM EST Mon Dec 8 2025 No fire weather hazards are expected as sufficient moisture will keep minimum afternoon relative humidity values well above critical levels through the upcoming week. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... TPA 75 53 69 54 / 20 0 0 0 FMY 80 57 74 57 / 50 10 0 0 GIF 74 50 70 52 / 30 0 0 0 SRQ 77 53 70 55 / 40 0 0 0 BKV 73 44 68 44 / 20 0 0 0 SPG 75 54 69 57 / 30 0 0 0 && .TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. Gulf waters...None. && $$ DISCUSSION/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...Oglesby DECISION SUPPORT...Oglesby UPPER AIR/CLIMATE...Oglesby