554
FNUS75 KTFX 022002
FWSTFX

Spot Forecast for Birdwell...BLM
National Weather Service Great Falls MT
202 PM MDT Thu Oct 2 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1400 MDT on October 02.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Expect clouds to continue to increase today as moisture pushes
into the area from the southwest. Watch for a light shower through
the remainder of the afternoon and into the evening, but any
precipitation amounts are highly likely (90%) to remain under a
tenth of an inch by the time the rain ends Friday morning.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain late in the afternoon.
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of thunder...1 percent.
Max temperature.....74-79.
Min humidity........21-26 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Northwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    east late in the afternoon.
 Ridgetop...........Southwest 15 to 20 mph decreasing to around 10
                    mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph shifting to the southeast
                    late in the afternoon.

TIME (MDT)      2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........59  60  65  53
Weather cov.....            SCH
Weather type....            RN
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0
Temp............72  73  74  75
RH..............27  26  28  28
20 FT wind dir..W   W   NW  E
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.15  15  15  10
Ridge wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW
Ridge wind spd..20  20  15  10
Mix hgt (kft)...5.5 5.5 5.5 5.0
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   SE
Transp wind spd.10  10  10  10

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain early in the evening, then chance of rain
                    in the evening. Slight chance of rain
                    overnight.
CWR.................10 percent decreasing to 5 percent overnight.
Chance of thunder...4 percent.
Min temperature.....50-55.
Max humidity........73-78 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Winds around 5 mph from varying directions between
east and southwest.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 10 mph shifting to the northwest late
                    in the evening, then shifting to the northeast
                    in the late evening and overnight shifting to
                    the east overnight.

TIME (MDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........69  67  83  85  77  75  80  75  74  67  83  86
Weather cov.....SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH
Weather type....RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN
Tstm cov........
CWR.............20  20  20  20  20  20  10  10  10  10  10  10
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............72  70  67  63  61  60  58  57  56  55  55  54
RH..............32  37  42  46  57  61  67  70  71  73  74  75
20 FT wind dir..E   E   S   SW  E   SW  SE  E   SE  E   SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Ridge wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   SE
Ridge wind spd..15  15  15  15  15  20  20  20  15  15  15  20
Mix hgt (kft)...2.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.E   E   NE  NW  NE  N   NE  NE  E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.5   5   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming
                    mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain early in the morning.
CWR.................5 percent.
Chance of thunder...3 percent.
Max temperature.....72-77.
Min humidity........33-38 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Northeast to northwest winds around 5 mph.
 Ridgetop...........Southeast 15 to 20 mph becoming south 5 to 10
                    mph in the late morning and early afternoon,
                    then shifting to the west late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......4000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph shifting to the
                    northwest late in the afternoon.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........86  87  82  80  57  57  57  38  33  43  40  40
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RN  RN  RN
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10  10  10  10  10  10  0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............53  52  52  55  59  63  65  69  70  72  73  71
RH..............76  78  78  74  64  57  50  46  44  42  41  42
20 FT wind dir..NE  NW  NW  N   NE  NE  NE  NE  N   N   N   NW
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   5   5   5   10  10  10  10  10  10
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10  10  10  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
Ridge wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   SW  W   W   W   NW
Ridge wind spd..20  20  15  15  10  10  5   5   10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 4.0 3.5 4.0 4.0
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   NE  N   N   NW  NW
Transp wind spd.10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10

$$
Forecaster...Ludwig
Requested by...Lewistown Dispatch
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2522909.0/TFX
.DELDT 10/02/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL mtlec@firenet.gov, tfx.ops@noaa.gov