Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Rapid City, SD

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808
FNUS73 KUNR 310924
FWSUNR

Spot Forecast for Antihorse Alpha...USFS
National Weather Service Rapid City SD
324 AM MDT Sat Oct 31 2026

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0500 MDT on October 31.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Patchy areas of fog and low stratus are ongoing in
the Black Hills this morning and may impact the spot location. The
fog/stratus is expected to burn off between 10am-Noon MDT. Light
and terrain driven winds this morning will become out of the south
to southeast late in the morning, with gusts up to around 15 mph
in the afternoon. Min RH is only expected to drop to around 55-60
percent this afternoon, with excellent RH recovery (>90 percent)
is expected tonight and Sunday night. Cloudy conditions are
expected through the period, however wetting rain is not
forecasted until Sunday night.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 40.
Max humidity........92 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 10 mph with gusts to
                    around 16 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
Mixing height.......500 to 1000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.

TIME (MDT)      5AM
Sky (%).........43
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0
Temp............45
RH..............80
20 FT wind dir..SE
20 FT wind spd..8
20 FT wind gust.16
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5
Transp wind dir.SE
Transp wind spd.13

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Patchy fog in
                    the morning.
Max temperature.....Around 56.
Min humidity........60 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 10 mph shifting to the
                    south late in the morning. Gusts up to 20 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
Mixing height.......2700 to 3200 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast 15 to 20 mph shifting to the south
                    late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........49  53  40  31  41  43  53  62  70  69  71  88
Weather cov.....PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY
Weather type....FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............45  45  46  47  50  51  53  54  55  56  55  52
RH..............82  84  87  89  86  80  74  71  66  64  66  71
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..7   7   8   9   10  10  12  10  9   8   7   6
20 FT wind gust.16  20  20  17  17  18  18  18  17  17  15  13
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 1.1 1.5 1.7 1.9 2.1 3.2 2.1 1.2
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   SW  S   S
Transp wind spd.14  15  15  16  17  18  18  18  17  15  13  12

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (25-35 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 39.
Max humidity........89 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph becoming around 5
                    mph late in the evening, then shifting to the
                    south late in the evening shifting to the west
                    after 3 am shifting to the north.
CWR.................0 percent.
Mixing height.......500 to 1000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph shifting to the southwest
                    overnight, then shifting to the south early in
                    the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.

TIME (MDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........92  75  59  42  20  18  36  37  38  57  50  44
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............49  47  46  46  46  45  45  45  44  43  42  42
RH..............80  86  89  89  89  89  89  86  89  86  89  86
20 FT wind dir..S   SE  SE  E   SE  SE  S   S   S   W   N   N
20 FT wind spd..6   5   5   5   5   3   3   3   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.10  9   9   10  10  9   8   8   7   7   7   7
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  W   SW  S
Transp wind spd.9   9   9   9   8   8   7   6   6   6   6   6

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 57.
Min humidity........59 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    east early in the morning, then shifting to the
                    southeast 5 to 15 mph with gusts to around 29
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
CWR.................0 percent.
Mixing height.......2600 to 3100 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast 10 to 15 mph increasing to 30 to 35
                    mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........38  59  58  35  55  61  85  79  65  71  77  82
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............42  40  42  45  49  52  54  54  55  55  56  53
RH..............82  89  86  79  71  66  59  61  59  61  59  69
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  E   SE  SE  S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..2   2   3   3   5   7   8   10  12  12  12  12
20 FT wind gust.7   7   8   9   13  16  20  22  25  26  28  29
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 1.1 1.7 2.4 2.6 2.9 3.1 2.5 1.8
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.6   6   6   8   13  20  25  29  31  31  30  28

$$
Forecaster...AD
Requested by...Madison Tolley
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2624590.6/UNR
.DELDT 10/31/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL brice.stanton@usda.gov,todd.hoover@usda.gov,madison.tolley@usda.gov