178
FNUS73 KUNR 041122
FWSUNR

Spot Forecast for Schenk RX Unit 4...USFS
National Weather Service Rapid City SD
522 AM MDT Sun Oct 4 2026

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 MDT on October 04.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Warm and dry conditions are expected over the planned
burn area through the next week. Highs will generally be in the
70s with minimum humidities ranging from 20 to 30 percent. Winds
for the upcoming week are expected to be light.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 75.
Min humidity........29 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds around 10 mph with gusts to around
                    14 mph shifting to the southeast in the late
                    morning and afternoon.
CWR.................0 percent.
Mixing height.......4500 to 5000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast 10 to 15 mph shifting to the south in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair.

TIME (MDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........47  24  9   3   1   1   2   3   5   5   3
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............48  51  55  63  68  70  72  74  75  74  73
RH..............60  59  55  41  37  35  33  30  29  29  30
20 FT wind dir..E   E   SE  SE  S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..7   6   6   6   7   7   8   8   8   7   7
20 FT wind gust.12  13  14  13  9   9   10  10  9   8
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.9 1.6 1.8 2.0 2.7 3.0 5.0 3.3 2.8
Transp wind dir.E   SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   SE
Transp wind spd.8   9   10  12  12  12  12  10  10  10  12

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 54.
Max humidity........64 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 10 mph with gusts to around 16
                    mph shifting to the northeast overnight, then
                    shifting to the north after 3 am.
CWR.................0 percent.
Mixing height.......400 to 900 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East 10 to 15 mph shifting to the north
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.

TIME (MDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........3   4   5   4   3   3   3   4   4   4   5   6
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............69  65  63  62  61  60  59  57  57  57  57  58
RH..............36  43  48  50  51  53  55  62  62  62  59  53
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   NE  NE  N   N
20 FT wind spd..7   7   8   8   7   6   5   3   3   3   2   2
20 FT wind gust.14  15  16  16  15  13  10  9   9   8   8   8
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  E   E   E   E   E   E   NE  N   N   N
Transp wind spd.13  14  15  15  14  12  9   8   7   7   7   7

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 82.
Min humidity........15 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds around 5 mph shifting to the west
                    late in the morning, then increasing to 5 to 10
                    mph with gusts to around 20 mph late in the
                    morning.
CWR.................0 percent.
Mixing height.......5500 to 6000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph increasing to 15 to 20
                    mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........5   8   5   1   2   3   0   1   4   9   13  20
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............54  54  57  64  70  73  76  79  82  82  81  78
RH..............64  61  55  43  31  25  22  20  16  15  15  17
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   2   3   5   6   7   8   8   7   6
20 FT wind gust.7   7   8   8   9   12  14  16  18  20  17  15
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 1.1 1.8 2.4 3.6 4.8 6.0 4.1 2.3
Transp wind dir.N   NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW
Transp wind spd.7   7   7   7   8   10  13  15  17  18  16  13

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 70s. North
winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 70s.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. East
winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 70s.
.SATURDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 70s.

$$
Forecaster...EW
Requested by...Hayden Hoelscher
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2622863.3/UNR
.DELDT 10/04/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL hayden.hoelscher@usda.gov