Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Rapid City, SD
Issued by NWS Rapid City, SD
918
FNUS73 KUNR 011126
FWSUNR
Spot Forecast for Schenk RX Unit 4...USFS
National Weather Service Rapid City SD
526 AM MDT Thu Oct 1 2026
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 MDT on October 01.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...Conditions over the planned burn area for the next
week or so are generally expected to be mild and mostly dry.
Daily highs will reach into the upper 60s to mid 70s with
afternoon humidities ranging from 30 to 50%. Isolated showers may
be possible over the area this afternoon and evening, though
wetting rains aren`t expected.
While a few systems may pass through the area and bring light
rain showers through the next week, no wetting (0.1") precip is
expected. Winds may pick up this weekend as a few cool fronts
pass through the area, though we`re not expecting any high wind
events next week.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 61.
Min humidity........47 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds around 5 mph shifting to the
southeast in the late morning and afternoon.
Gusts up to 23 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
Mixing height.......3000 to 3500 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East 15 to 20 mph shifting to the southeast 20
to 25 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair.
TIME (MDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........66 48 39 34 34 29 28 27 22 22 21
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............52 52 53 54 56 58 58 59 59 61 59
RH..............66 67 66 64 62 57 57 55 55 50 51
20 FT wind dir..NE E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE E
20 FT wind spd..5 5 5 6 6 7 8 8 8 8 8
20 FT wind gust.16 16 15 16 17 18 20 21 22 22 23
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.7 1.2 1.8 2.2 2.7 2.8 2.9 3.5 2.7 2.3
Transp wind dir.NE NE NE E E E E SE SE SE E
Transp wind spd.14 15 16 16 15 15 16 16 18 20 23
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (50-60 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 44.
Max humidity........82 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts to around 31
mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
Mixing height.......500 to 1000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East 25 to 30 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........30 30 30 30 31 32 35 42 49 52 51 54
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............57 52 50 50 49 48 48 47 47 47 46 46
RH..............47 54 56 52 54 54 56 60 63 65 71 73
20 FT wind dir..E E E E E E E E E E E E
20 FT wind spd..15 17 18 18 18 18 16 17 17 16 16 14
20 FT wind gust.26 30 31 30 30 30 29 29 30 29 28 24
Mix hgt (kft)...1.6 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.E E E E E E E E E E E E
Transp wind spd.25 26 29 29 29 28 26 28 28 26 25 22
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 71.
Min humidity........39 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 10 to 15 mph shifting to the
southeast late in the morning, then shifting to
the southwest in the afternoon decreasing to
around 5 mph late in the afternoon. Gusts up to
21 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
Mixing height.......2900 to 3400 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast 15 to 20 mph shifting to the south
late in the morning, then shifting to the west
early in the afternoon shifting to the
northwest late in the afternoon shifting to the
northeast.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........40 57 44 31 27 19 10 11 8 6 16 15
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............46 45 48 50 56 59 62 66 68 70 71 69
RH..............76 82 80 80 64 62 58 50 45 42 39 40
20 FT wind dir..E E E SE SE S S S SW SW SW SW
20 FT wind spd..12 10 9 7 6 6 6 6 7 7 5 3
20 FT wind gust.21 18 16 14 13 12 13 13 14 15 14 12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.7 0.9 1.0 1.3 1.6 1.8 2.4 2.9 3.4 2.4 1.4
Transp wind dir.E E SE S S SW SW SW W W NW NE
Transp wind spd.20 16 14 13 12 12 12 12 13 13 12 9
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. North
winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the upper 60s. East
winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...
Clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. Southeast
winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...
Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 70s.
.WEDNESDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 70s.
$$
Forecaster...EW
Requested by...Hayden Hoelscher
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2622863.0/UNR
.DELDT 10/01/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL hayden.hoelscher@usda.gov