971
FXUS65 KVEF 242314
AFDVEF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Las Vegas NV
414 PM PDT Sat Oct 24 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

* Gusty north winds will decrease throughout the afternoon with
  lingering shower and storm chances in northwestern Arizona.

* Quiet and seasonable conditions through at least Wednesday, with
  signs of a more active pattern returning late in the week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...Today through Friday.

Early afternoon infrared and water vapor satellite imagery shows
elongated troughing across the Southwestern US from the shortwave
that dropped into the area last night. This shortwave was
responsible for the overnight uptick in north winds across the
region. These winds will gradually decrease throughout the afternoon.
 In addition to breezy north winds, Mohave County will see isolated
showers and thunderstorms as this trough lingers across the area
today. For the most part precipitation will be light. However, with
the cold air aloft and lingering moisture, stronger storms will be
capable of producing moderate-to-heavy rain. Nuisance flooding and
isolated instances of flash flooding will be possible.

Weather will calm down heading into next week as the trough exits on
Sunday. Dry conditions and seasonable temperatures are on tap for
the first half of the week. Guidance continues to show the weather
pattern becoming more active late next week as the subtropical jet
draws moisture into the Southwestern US. Cluster analysis shows
several variations of offshore troughing during this time, so there
remains a fair amount of uncertainty, but there appears to be a good
signal for the existence of an offshore trough and southwesterly
flow over us. Should this come to fruition, we should see an
increase in southwest winds and low to moderate (10-50%)
precipitation chances around Halloween weekend.
&&


.AVIATION...For Harry Reid...For the 00Z Forecast Package...Best
chances of vicinity showers between 00Z and 02Z, with a 40 percent
chance of gusty winds from their direction between 20 and 30 kts and
rain over the terminal. Northerly winds will continue to gradually
subside through the remainder of the afternoon. Gusts should cease
around 00Z. Expect directional variability between 330 and 030
through the day today. Overnight, winds will become light and
variable before becoming light and east-northeasterly Sunday
afternoon.

For the rest of southern Nevada, northwest Arizona and southeast
California...For the 00Z Forecast Package...Northerly wind gusts
between 25 and 30 kts will continue to subside through the day at
Las Vegas Valley and Colorado River Valley TAF sites. KBIH will
remain north, but will range between 6 and 9 kts. KDAG will be light
and variable. FEW-SCT aoa 10 kft will clear out through the day.
&&


.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...Spotters are encouraged to report
any significant weather or impacts according to standard operating
procedures.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Stessman
AVIATION...Soulat

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