Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
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FNAK52 PAFG 160819
FWFWCZ

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
1219 AM AKDT Mon Jun 16 2025

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 929,
930 AND 952...

.DISCUSSION...
Hot and dry conditions will continue throughout the Western
Interior as High pressure continues over the Interior.
Northwesterly winds will pick up in the afternoon hours Monday and
Tuesday with the strongest along the coast. The big story will be
the thunderstorm activity across much of the Western Interior for
the next couple of days. These storms will be accompanied with
frequent lightning, heavy rain, and gusty erratic winds. We are
expecting thunderstorm activity to continue through the overnight
hours Monday night and Tuesday night.

Today Numerous thunderstorms are expected in the Middle Yukon,
and Upper Kuskokwim Valleys. With widely scattered thunderstorms
making their way into the Seward Peninsula and Western portions of
the Brooks Range. Tuesday another round of Numerous thunderstorms
are expected in the Middle Yukon and Upper Kuskokwim Valleys. A
fire weather watch is in effect for the heightened thunderstorm
activity.

AKZ913-170230-
South Slopes of the Western Brooks Range-
Including Walker Lake
1219 AM AKDT Mon Jun 16 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     60           60           50
CWR                   10           30           10
Tstm Coverage         Scattered    Scattered    Widely Sct
Temp (24h trend)      81-91 (+5)   48-58 (+1)   82-92
RH % (24h trend)      20-35 (+1)   74-89 (0)    21-36
20ftWnd(mph)          NE 3-7       NE 4-8       SE 5-9 G17
Transport wnd (mph)   NE  8        NE  9        SE 14
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    5100         300          8300
Vent rate (mph-ft)    40800        2700         116200

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows 50 to 60. Highs 82 to 92. East winds around
5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows 49 to 58. Highs 75 to 85. West winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows 50 to 57. Highs 72 to 82. Southwest winds
around 10 mph.

$$

AKZ914-170230-
Noatak Valley-
Including Noatak and Red Dog Mine
1219 AM AKDT Mon Jun 16 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     40           40           50
CWR                   10           10           10
Tstm Coverage         Widely Sct   Widely Sct   Widely Sct
Temp (24h trend)      75-85 (+6)   44-54 (+1)   76-86
RH % (24h trend)      27-42 (-1)   75-90 (+11)  30-45
20ftWnd(mph)          NE 3-7       NE 6-10 G18  SE 3-7
Transport wnd (mph)   NE 10        NE  9        S 12
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    5100         300          6400
Vent rate (mph-ft)    51000        2700         76800

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 38 to 48. Highs 71 to 81. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows 39 to 49. Highs 64 to 74. West winds around
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows 40 to 50. Highs 65 to 75. West winds around
5 mph.

$$

AKZ916-170230-
Lower Kobuk Valley-
Including Noorvik, Selawik, and Kiana
1219 AM AKDT Mon Jun 16 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     40           40           20
CWR                   10           10           10
Tstm Coverage         Widely Sct   Widely Sct   Widely Sct
Temp (24h trend)      73-83 (-4)   38-48 (-2)   73-83
RH % (24h trend)      29-44 (+10)  80-95 (+14)  32-47
20ftWnd(mph)          N 3-7        N 5-9        SW 3-7
Transport wnd (mph)   N  8         W  6         W  9
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    4400         300          3900
Vent rate (mph-ft)    35200        1800         35100

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 35 to 45. Highs 65 to 75. West winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 37 to 47. Highs 62 to 72. West winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Lows
38 to 48. Highs 65 to 75. West winds around 10 mph.

$$

AKZ918-170230-
Northern Seward Peninsula-
Including Deering, Buckland, and Candle
1219 AM AKDT Mon Jun 16 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     30           40           30
CWR                   10           20           10
Tstm Coverage         Scattered    Scattered    Widely Sct
Temp (24h trend)      71-81 (-5)   36-46 (-1)   69-79
RH % (24h trend)      33-48 (+9)   82-97 (+11)  36-51
20ftWnd(mph)          N 7-11 G21   NW 7-11 G21  NW 3-7
Transport wnd (mph)   N 13         W  7         W  9
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    3700         300          4000
Vent rate (mph-ft)    48100        2100         36000

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 34 to 44. Highs 63 to 73. Northwest winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Isolated showers. Lows 35 to 45. Highs
61 to 71. Northwest winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers. Lows 35 to 45. Highs
64 to 74. North winds around 10 mph.

$$

AKZ919-170230-
Upper Kobuk Valleys-
Including Ambler, Shungnak, and Kobuk
1219 AM AKDT Mon Jun 16 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     50           50           20
CWR                   10           20           10
Tstm Coverage         Scattered    Scattered    Widely Sct
Temp (24h trend)      81-91 (+5)   47-57 (0)    82-92
RH % (24h trend)      19-34 (0)    76-91 (+2)   19-34
20ftWnd(mph)          NE 4-8       NE 4-8       E 6-10 G19
Transport wnd (mph)   NE  8        NE  7        SE 13
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    5700         300          8400
Vent rate (mph-ft)    45600        2100         109200

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 45 to 55. Highs 83 to 93. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows 45 to 55. Highs 74 to 84. West winds around
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Lows
47 to 56. Highs 72 to 82. West winds around 5 mph.

$$

AKZ923-170230-
Interior Seward Peninsula-
Including Serpentine Hot Springs, Council, Haycock,
Pilgrim Springs, and Taylor
1219 AM AKDT Mon Jun 16 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     40           40           30
CWR                   10           10           10
Tstm Coverage         Widely Sct   Widely Sct   Scattered
Temp (24h trend)      71-81 (-2)   40-50 (-1)   69-79
RH % (24h trend)      33-48 (+9)   82-97 (+7)   37-52
20ftWnd(mph)          N 5-9 G17    NW 6-10 G20  W 3-7
Transport wnd (mph)   N 13         W  7         SW  9
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    3900         300          4700
Vent rate (mph-ft)    50700        2100         42300

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 35 to 45. Highs 64 to 74. West winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers. Lows 37 to 47. Highs
62 to 72. West winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of rain. Lows 41 to
51. Highs 64 to 74. Northeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

AKZ924-170230-
Eastern Norton Sound and Nulato Hills-
Including Unalakleet, Stebbins, St Michael, Elim, Koyuk,
and Shaktoolik
1219 AM AKDT Mon Jun 16 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     50           50           30
CWR                   10           40           10
Tstm Coverage         Widely Sct   Widely Sct   Scattered
Temp (24h trend)      71-81 (-7)   42-52 (-4)   67-77
RH % (24h trend)      34-49 (+24)  84-98 (+22)  40-55
20ftWnd(mph)          W 5-9        W 6-10 G18   W 6-10 G19
Transport wnd (mph)   NW 12        SW  9        W 13
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    3100         300          3500
Vent rate (mph-ft)    37200        2700         45500

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows 39 to 49. Highs 62 to 72. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Isolated showers. Lows 42 to 48. Highs
62 to 72. West winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers. Lows 46 to 51. Highs
65 to 75. Northeast winds around 10 mph.

$$

AKZ925-170230-
Yukon Delta Coast-
Including Mountain Village, Emmonak, Alakanuk, Kotlik,
Scammon Bay, Hooper Bay, Nunam Iqua, and Chevak
1219 AM AKDT Mon Jun 16 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     10           10           0
CWR                   5            5            5
Tstm Coverage         Isolated     Isolated     Isolated
Temp (24h trend)      57-67 (0)    38-46 (-3)   55-65
RH % (24h trend)      ABV 40 (-4)  82-97 (+2)   ABV 40
20ftWnd(mph)          W 5-9        W 7-11 G20   W 5-9
Transport wnd (mph)   W 12         W  9         W 10
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    3700         400          4000
Vent rate (mph-ft)    44400        3600         40000

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 37 to 44. Highs 55 to 65.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows 40 to 47. Highs 58 to 68. North
winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers. Lows 44 to 51. Highs
63 to 73. Northeast winds around 10 mph.

$$

AKZ926-170230-
Lower Yukon River-
Including Russian Mission, St Marys, Pilot Station, and Marshall
1219 AM AKDT Mon Jun 16 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     20           20           20
CWR                   5            5            10
Tstm Coverage         Isolated     Isolated     Isolated
Temp (24h trend)      64-74 (0)    42-52 (0)    63-73
RH % (24h trend)      37-52 (+5)   85-96 (+11)  ABV 40
20ftWnd(mph)          NW 5-9       NW 8-12 G20  NW 8-12 G19
Transport wnd (mph)   NW 13        NW 12        NW 10
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    4000         400          4500
Vent rate (mph-ft)    52000        4800         45000

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 40 to 50. Highs 63 to 73. Northwest winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows 44 to 51. Highs 63 to 73.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers. Lows 48 to 54. Highs
63 to 73. Northeast winds around 10 mph.

$$

AKZ928-170230-
Lower Koyukuk Valley-
Including Huslia and Hughes
1219 AM AKDT Mon Jun 16 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     60           60           30
CWR                   10           30           10
Tstm Coverage         Numerous     Numerous     Scattered
Temp (24h trend)      80-90 (0)    50-60 (0)    80-90
RH % (24h trend)      20-35 (+5)   80-95 (+10)  17-32
20ftWnd(mph)          NE 5-9       N 5-9 G18    NE 4-8
Transport wnd (mph)   NE  9        N  6         NE  8
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    5500         300          8100
Vent rate (mph-ft)    49500        1800         64800

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 47 to 57. Highs 79 to 89. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows 46 to 56. Highs 71 to 81. West winds around
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows 48 to 58. Highs 70 to 80. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.

$$

AKZ929-170230-
Middle Yukon Valley-
Including Galena, Nulato, Kaltag, Ruby, and Koyukuk
1219 AM AKDT Mon Jun 16 2025

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     60           60           60
CWR                   10           40           10
Tstm Coverage         Numerous     Numerous     Numerous
Temp (24h trend)      78-88 (0)    45-55 (-1)   78-88
RH % (24h trend)      25-40 (+8)   83-98 (+18)  24-39
20ftWnd(mph)          NE 3-7       NW 3-7       N 3-7
Transport wnd (mph)   NE  9        NW  6        N  8
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    5200         300          7700
Vent rate (mph-ft)    46800        1800         61600

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Numerous showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 41 to 51. Highs 75 to 85. West winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows 43 to 53. Highs 71 to 81. West winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows 48 to 58. Highs 71 to 81. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.

$$

AKZ930-170230-
Lower Yukon and Innoko Valleys-
Including Grayling, Holy Cross, Shageluk, and Anvik
1219 AM AKDT Mon Jun 16 2025

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     40           40           50
CWR                   10           10           10
Tstm Coverage         Numerous     Numerous     Numerous
Temp (24h trend)      74-84 (-7)   43-53 (-1)   73-83
RH % (24h trend)      29-44 (+15)  84-97 (+23)  32-47
20ftWnd(mph)          NW 4-8       NW 5-9       NW 6-10
Transport wnd (mph)   NW  8        NW  8        NW 10
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    5100         400          4800
Vent rate (mph-ft)    40800        3200         48000

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Numerous showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 39 to 49. Highs 69 to 79. West winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows 42 to 52. Highs 69 to 79. West winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Lows
48 to 57. Highs 71 to 81. Northeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

AKZ951-170230-
North Slopes of the Western Alaska Range-
Including Farewell Lake
1219 AM AKDT Mon Jun 16 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     30           40           80
CWR                   10           20           10
Tstm Coverage         Isolated     Isolated     Numerous
Temp (24h trend)      69-79 (-2)   41-51 (+3)   69-79
RH % (24h trend)      30-45 (+12)  81-96 (+12)  36-51
20ftWnd(mph)          Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Transport wnd (mph)   N  7         SW  6        N  7
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    5100         400          3300
Vent rate (mph-ft)    35700        2400         23100

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with numerous showers and scattered
thunderstorms. Lows 41 to 51. Highs 65 to 75. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers. Lows 43 to 53.
Highs 67 to 77. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers. Lows 42 to 52. Highs
69 to 79. South winds around 5 mph.

$$

AKZ952-170230-
Upper Kuskokwim Valley-
Including McGrath, Nikolai, and Takotna
1219 AM AKDT Mon Jun 16 2025

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip type           Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance precip (%)     40           40           80
CWR                   10           30           10
Tstm Coverage         Scattered    Scattered    Numerous
Temp (24h trend)      74-84 (-1)   48-58 (+3)   75-85
RH % (24h trend)      28-43 (+8)   84-99 (+20)  32-47
20ftWnd(mph)          Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      NW 3-7
Transport wnd (mph)   N  6         NW  7        N  8
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)    5500         400          4200
Vent rate (mph-ft)    33000        2800         33600

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with numerous showers and scattered
thunderstorms. Lows 47 to 57. Highs 69 to 79. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows 48 to 57. Highs 67 to 77. West winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Lows 50 to 58. Highs 70 to 80. Southwest winds
around 5 mph.

$$