215
FNUS53 KAPX 191844
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
244 PM EDT Thu Jun 19 2025

...Turning Hot with More Rain Chances...

.DISCUSSION... Fire danger is set to remain low over the next
several days as more rain and thunder chances combined with
surging dewpoints lead to less favorable fire growth conditions
across the area. Shower chances across northwest lower tonight
carry into Friday and spread across the rest of the region, as
high temperatures rebound into the upper 70s and lower 80s.
Dewpoints are set to remain in the upper 50s to mid 60s, leading
to min RHs hovering in the 50s and 60s. Looking ahead, shower and
storm potential increases further heading into Friday night and
into Saturday before temperatures take off like a rocket for the
weekend... tentatively highs peak in the mid 80s to near 90
Saturday, though thunderstorm activity may stunt that... the big
warmth shows up Sunday and Monday as temperatures build well into
the 90s, and with dewpoints holding in the 70s, it will feel more
like the Everglades as opposed to the Northwoods. Despite the
warmth and breezy SW winds (10-15mph), high RHs and recent
rainfall should keep fire danger quite low.


MIZ016-017-021>023-099-200815-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
244 PM EDT Thu Jun 19 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) until 2400, then
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent).
Min Temperature.....52-57.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
                    light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (17).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...16 percent.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Isolated rain
                    showers until 1200. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms. Scattered rain showers after
                    1200.
Max Temperature.....74-79...except 63-68 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........58-63 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (267).
Mixing Height.......1900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.15 in .
Chance of Thunder...16 percent.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Min Temperature.....60-65.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (41).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.07- 0.25 in.
Chance of Thunder...30 percent.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms.
Max Temperature.....85-90...except 73-78 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......12 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........53-58 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 32 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (829).
Mixing Height.......3000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 15 mph increasing to southwest
                    around 27 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.13- 0.43 in.
Chance of Thunder...49 percent.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-200815-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
244 PM EDT Thu Jun 19 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Min Temperature.....53-58.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Vent Rate...........Poor (21).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...17 percent.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Isolated rain
                    showers until 1200. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms. Scattered rain showers after
                    1200.
Max Temperature.....77-82...except 59-64 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........54-59 percent.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Fair (269).
Mixing Height.......2200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.11 in .
Chance of Thunder...23 percent.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Min Temperature.....60-65.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (38).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.07- 0.22 in.
Chance of Thunder...25 percent.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers. Chance of thunderstorms after 1200.
Max Temperature.....87-92...except 70-75 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......11 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........50-55 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (847).
Mixing Height.......3100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 12 mph increasing to southwest
                    around 24 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.06- 0.38 in.
Chance of Thunder...36 percent.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-200815-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
244 PM EDT Thu Jun 19 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 2400, then
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Isolated rain
                    showers. Slight chance of thunderstorms after
                    2400.
Min Temperature.....53-58.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
                    light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (14).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 9 mph shifting to the southwest
                    around 6 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...20 percent.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Isolated rain
                    showers until 1200. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms. Scattered rain showers after
                    1200.
Max Temperature.....74-79...except 59-64 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........56-61 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter...except 4 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (366).
Mixing Height.......2100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.04- 0.14 in.
Chance of Thunder...17 percent.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 2400, then rain showers likely
                    and chance of thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....61-66.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent...except 82-87 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (74).
Mixing Height.......700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.11- 0.25 in.
Chance of Thunder...29 percent.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Rain showers
                    likely until 1200. Chance of thunderstorms.
                    Chance of rain showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....86-91...except 64-69 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......12 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........52-57 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 32 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (891).
Mixing Height.......2900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 18 mph increasing to southwest
                    around 30 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.06- 0.32 in.
Chance of Thunder...34 percent.


$$

MIZ031>033-200815-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
244 PM EDT Thu Jun 19 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) until 2400, then
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Isolated rain
                    showers. Slight chance of thunderstorms after
                    2400.
Min Temperature.....54-59.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
                    light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (17).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
Chance of Thunder...22 percent.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Isolated rain
                    showers until 1200. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms. Scattered rain showers after
                    1200.
Max Temperature.....74-79.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........56-61 percent.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter...except 4 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (511).
Mixing Height.......2700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 9 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.08 in .
Chance of Thunder...15 percent.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
                    showers. Chance of thunderstorms after 2400.
Min Temperature.....63-68.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........90-95 percent.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 23 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (72).
Mixing Height.......700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.11- 0.22 in.
Chance of Thunder...31 percent.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 1200, then
                    mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms until 1200.
Max Temperature.....86-91...except 77-82 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......11 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........50-55 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 32 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1001).
Mixing Height.......3200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 18 mph increasing to southwest
                    around 30 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.05- 0.15 in.
Chance of Thunder...30 percent.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-200815-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
244 PM EDT Thu Jun 19 2025

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Min Temperature.....53-58.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (20).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
Chance of Thunder...24 percent.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Isolated rain
                    showers until 1200. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms. Scattered rain showers after
                    1200.
Max Temperature.....75-80.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........54-59 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Good (409).
Mixing Height.......2700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 6 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.02- 0.14 in.
Chance of Thunder...20 percent.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of
                    showers.
Min Temperature.....61-66.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Poor (46).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.07- 0.26 in.
Chance of Thunder...25 percent.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms until 1200.
Max Temperature.....87-92.
   24 HR Trend......12 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........48-53 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 27 mph.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (948).
Mixing Height.......3300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 12 mph increasing to southwest
                    around 27 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.04- 0.23 in.
Chance of Thunder...36 percent.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...NOT AS WARM. MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 60S. HIGHS AROUND 80. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

HAD