Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

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FNUS53 KAPX 121932
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
332 PM EDT Wed May 12 2021

...Quiet and Warmer Weather...

.DISCUSSION...Weather more typical for May is on the way with
slowly warming temperatures over the next several days. Little to
no precipitation is expected with perhaps somewhat better chances
for a little rain next week. Winds are expected to be relatively
light over the next few days then perhaps a bit gusty toward
midweek. Minimum relative humidity in the upper teens and 20s
Thursday should generally increase Friday into this weekend.


MIZ016-017-021>023-099-130830-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
332 PM EDT Wed May 12 2021

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent). Areas of frost
                    after 2400.
Min Temperature.....33-38.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........76-81 percent...except 62-67 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 percent drier...except 14 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
                    light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0).
Mixing Height.......0 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max Temperature.....64-69...except 51-56 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........18-23 percent.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (780).
Mixing Height.......7500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent). Patchy frost
                    after 2400.
Min Temperature.....37-42.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........76-81 percent...except 65-70 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent wetter...except 6 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
                    light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0).
Mixing Height.......0 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max Temperature.....65-70...except 52-57 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler...except 2 degrees warmer near
                    the coast.
Min Humidity........26-31 percent...except 35-40 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......13 percent wetter...except 7 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (900).
Mixing Height.......8500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-130830-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
332 PM EDT Wed May 12 2021

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent). Areas of frost
                    after 2400.
Min Temperature.....32-37...except 39-44 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Max Humidity........76-81 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged...except 9 percent wetter along the
                    coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0).
Mixing Height.......100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max Temperature.....64-69...except 53-58 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........17-22 percent.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (540).
Mixing Height.......8400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent). Patchy frost
                    after 2400.
Min Temperature.....37-42.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........80-85 percent...except 71-76 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0).
Mixing Height.......0 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 3 to 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....65-70...except 53-58 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........27-32 percent.
   24 HR Trend......12 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (750).
Mixing Height.......8900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-130830-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
332 PM EDT Wed May 12 2021

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Clear (0-10 percent). Areas of frost after
                    2400.
Min Temperature.....31-36...except around 40 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........72-77 percent...except 54-59 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent drier...except 13 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0).
Mixing Height.......0 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 3 to 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max Temperature.....63-68...except 47-52 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........19-24 percent.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (570).
Mixing Height.......7300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent). Patchy frost
                    after 2400.
Min Temperature.....35-40...except 44-49 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........70-75 percent...except 60-65 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0).
Mixing Height.......0 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....63-68...except around 51 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........28-33 percent.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (790).
Mixing Height.......8400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ031>033-130830-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
332 PM EDT Wed May 12 2021

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent). Widespread frost
                    after 2400.
Min Temperature.....30-35.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer...except 8 degrees warmer near
                    the coast.
Max Humidity........70-75 percent...except 54-59 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......13 percent drier...except 28 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0).
Mixing Height.......0 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 3 to 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max Temperature.....64-69...except 54-59 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........16-21 percent...except 25-30 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (480).
Mixing Height.......8100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 3 to 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent). Patchy frost
                    after 2400.
Min Temperature.....34-39.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........72-77 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent drier...except 7 percent wetter along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0).
Mixing Height.......0 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 3 to 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....65-70...except 54-59 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........25-30 percent...except 34-39 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (760).
Mixing Height.......9500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-130830-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
332 PM EDT Wed May 12 2021

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent). Widespread frost
                    after 2400.
Min Temperature.....31-36.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Max Humidity........70-75 percent.
   24 HR Trend......16 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0).
Mixing Height.......0 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max Temperature.....64-69.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........16-21 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (530).
Mixing Height.......9400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent). Patchy frost
                    after 2400.
Min Temperature.....35-40.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........79-84 percent.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0).
Mixing Height.......0 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 3 to 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max Temperature.....65-70.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........24-29 percent.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (770).
Mixing Height.......10500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

AS
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