Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

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FNUS53 KAPX 261916
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Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
316 PM EDT Sun Jun 26 2022

...Cooler, Mainly Quiet Till Tuesday...

.DISCUSSION...
Winds will remain a little on the gusty side into Monday, perhaps
in the 20mph range...becoming northwest as a disturbance moves
through early Monday. Much cooler weather is expected Monday...with
highs in the 60s. Things warm up into the 80s Tuesday ahead of a cold
front...which will bring gusty southwesterly winds along with
showers and storms back to the area, lasting into Tuesday night.
Another brief break is anticipated Wednesday as high pressure and
drier air return...with more active weather likely beyond midweek.

MIZ016-017-021>023-099-270830-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
316 PM EDT Sun Jun 26 2022

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 2400, then
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent).
Min Temperature.....47-52...except 54-59 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......14 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........83-88 percent.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (640).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) until 1200, then
                    mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max Temperature.....59-64.
   24 HR Trend......12 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........46-51 percent.
   24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter...except unchanged along the
                    coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (72340).
Mixing Height.......3700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 21 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min Temperature.....45-50...except 53-58 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........79-84 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 10 mph shifting to the
                    southwest after midnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (40).
Mixing Height.......0 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 12 mph shifting to the southwest
                    around 6 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....79-84...except 68-73 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......18 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........34-39 percent.
   24 HR Trend......11 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (185720).
Mixing Height.......7800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 12 mph increasing to around 24
                    mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.11 in.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-270830-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
316 PM EDT Sun Jun 26 2022

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Min Temperature.....49-54.
   24 HR Trend......15 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........84-89 percent...except 72-77 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent wetter...except 7 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up
                    to 24 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (820).
Mixing Height.......100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Max Temperature.....61-66...except 54-59 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......17 degrees cooler...except 22 degrees cooler
                    near the coast.
Min Humidity........46-51 percent.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter...except 11 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (92450).
Mixing Height.......4500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 21 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Min Temperature.....45-50.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........84-89 percent...except 72-77 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph .
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (10).
Mixing Height.......0 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....79-84...except around 70 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......18 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........34-39 percent.
   24 HR Trend......12 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (132920).
Mixing Height.......7100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 12 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-270830-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
316 PM EDT Sun Jun 26 2022

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Min Temperature.....45-50...except 55-60 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......17 degrees cooler...except 11 degrees cooler
                    near the coast.
Max Humidity........81-86 percent...except 67-72 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent drier...except 14 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (10).
Mixing Height.......0 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max Temperature.....61-66...except 53-58 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......11 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........43-48 percent.
   24 HR Trend......6 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (69940).
Mixing Height.......4000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 18 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min Temperature.....46-51...except 55-60 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Max Humidity........83-88 percent...except 71-76 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 percent drier...except 1 percent wetter along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph shifting to the south
                    after midnight. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (60).
Mixing Height.......0 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 9 mph shifting to the south around
                    6 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....78-83...except 63-68 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......17 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........35-40 percent.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (165600).
Mixing Height.......7400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 12 mph increasing to around 24
                    mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.15 in.


$$

MIZ031>033-270830-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
316 PM EDT Sun Jun 26 2022

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min Temperature.....45-50...except 53-58 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......18 degrees cooler...except 11 degrees cooler
                    near the coast.
Max Humidity........83-88 percent.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up
                    to 24 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (10).
Mixing Height.......0 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max Temperature.....62-67.
   24 HR Trend......11 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........40-45 percent.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (73700).
Mixing Height.......4300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 18 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent).
Min Temperature.....46-51...except 53-58 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Max Humidity........81-86 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent drier...except 10 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    southwest after midnight. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (20).
Mixing Height.......0 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 9 mph shifting to the south around
                    6 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....77-82.
   24 HR Trend......16 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........31-36 percent...except 44-49 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (169780).
Mixing Height.......8100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 12 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-270830-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
316 PM EDT Sun Jun 26 2022

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min Temperature.....46-51.
   24 HR Trend......18 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........83-88 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up
                    to 24 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Good (300).
Mixing Height.......0 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 21 mph becoming northwest around 9
                    mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max Temperature.....63-68.
   24 HR Trend......15 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........41-46 percent.
   24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (91610).
Mixing Height.......4500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min Temperature.....43-48.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........79-84 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 16 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Poor (0).
Mixing Height.......0 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 12 mph shifting to the
                    southwest around 6 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max Temperature.....78-83.
   24 HR Trend......17 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........33-38 percent.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal.....Excellent (156000).
Mixing Height.......8300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 9 mph increasing to around 21
                    mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...WARMER. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS AROUND 80.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

FEF


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