659
FXUS62 KILM 131815
AFDILM

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
215 PM EDT Sun Jul 13 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
Bermuda high pressure along with an inland trough will
generally prevail although a front could near mid week bringing
a bit better rain chances.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
Fairly weak weather features impacting the area during the near term
period.  Isolated to scattered, mainly afternoon and evening,
showers and storms, will develop on features like the sea breeze, a
weak surface trough inland, and storm outflows through Monday. Highs
away from the beaches will be in the low to mid 90s with lows in the
low to mid 70s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
Weak flow through the entire column through the period, fairly
typical for July. The Piedmont trough and seabreeze will be the two
main rainmakers, and with very slow and erratic storm motion POPs
will be fairly uniform across the region, but with an earlier
starting time at the coast.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Bermuda high and Piedmont trough will continue to be weather map
fixtures for the foreseeable future. The high moisture content will
keep nighttime lows elevated well above seasonable norms while
daytime highs will only tend a few degrees above climatology. Each
day will have a muggy but rain-free night while thunderstorm
coverage each afternoon will be solidly in the chance range.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Mainly VFR conditions are expected during the valid taf period.
Exceptions will be reduced cigs/vsbys in isolated to scattered
showers and storms this afternoon and evening. These
restrictions will mainly be of the MVFR variety but brief IFR is
possible. Fog expected again overnight, roughly between 08 and
12z. For now, tafs indicate mvfr vsbys but ifr conditions are
not impossible, especially at inland terminals.

Extended Outlook...Intermittent flight restrictions are possible
each day due to daytime/evening convection and potential early
morning fog/stratus.

&&

.MARINE...
Through Monday...expect S to SE winds of 10 KT or less with seas
invof 2 ft.

Early in the period the Bermuda high will be displaced to the east
some. Locally this means a weaker pressure gradient and fairly tame
winds. With most of the high-induced swells remaining well
offshore that leaves behind only the small wind-driven wave set.
A gradual westward return of the center of the high will add a
category back to wind speed by the midweek period. Seas will
respond by growing by about a foot.

&&

.ILM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...Coastal Flood Advisory from 11 PM this evening to 4 AM EDT
     Monday for NCZ107.
SC...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...ILM
NEAR TERM...31
SHORT TERM...MBB
LONG TERM...MBB
AVIATION...31
MARINE...ILM