927
FXUS61 KBTV 221941
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
341 PM EDT Sat Mar 22 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
A cold front to move through the region this evening which will
bring a round of light rain changing over to snow showers
tonight. Sunday will be much colder than previous days with
highs topping out in the 30s but will be dry and sunny. A period
of unsettled weather is on tap for the upcoming work week with
a series of fronts bringing rain and snow to the region on
Monday with scattered rain and showers possible through much of
next week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
As of 335 PM EDT Saturday...After a warm breezy day today a
surface cold front is poised to sweep across our area tonight,
resulting in a much cooler day for Sunday. Cold front is pushing
into northern New York, and some scattered light rain showers
are spreading out ahead of it. As this front moves across the
area, it will fall apart a bit and precipitation becomes widely
scattered and will also change over to snow showers as much
colder air moves into the area. Minimum temperatures overnight
will dip into the single digits to teens above zero.
Precipitation totals will be around two tenths of an inch or
less of liquid, and under an inch of snowfall.

Sunday will be dry and cold in strong cold air advection behind
departing cold front. Winds will be gusty out of the northwest
early in the morning, but die down as surface high pressure
ridge builds over the area. Dewpoints will plummet in the
afternoon and relative humidities will drop towards critical
levels. As the dewpoints drop though, winds will calm down. This
in combination with recent precipitation will hopefully
preclude any major fire weather issues. Maximum temperatures
Sunday afternoon will only range through the 30s, this will feel
quite chilly after the recently mild weather.

On Sunday night we will see an increase in clouds and then
chances for precipitation as another frontal system and upper
level trough approaches our area. Temperatures Sunday night will
be in the teens to lower 20s, so as the precipitation begins it
will be in the form of snow showers.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
As of 311 PM EDT Saturday...The active weather pattern
continues as we head into next week, with a surface front
associated with a low over the Great Lakes lifts into the region
Monday morning. A period of snowfall is expected as the front
lifts across, which will likely occur during the Monday morning
commute and make for some slick and snow-covered roads given
antecedent cold weather although conditions should rapidly
improve heading into the afternoon given the higher sun angle
this time of year. Temperatures look to quickly warm across most
of the region, climbing above freezing towards the late morning
and snow transitioning to rain or a rain/snow mix. The
exception to this will be across eastern Vermont, where
temperatures will struggle to warm, holding onto the cold and
snow longer. Total snow accumulations will be light, with just a
dusting across the lower elevations and a few inches above
1500ft elevation or so. Colder air will filter in Monday
evening, bringing additional chances for snow, especially at the
higher elevations.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 311 PM EDT Saturday...Cool and unsettled conditions will
continue for much of the week as an upper level trough settles
over the Northeast. Periods of showers can be expected as a
series of shortwave troughs and troughs push through the region.
Temperatures throughout the week will feel quite springlike and
seasonable, with high temperatures generally in the 40s to near
50 and low temperatures in the 20s and 30s.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Through 18Z Sunday...Gusty winds in the 20 to 25 knot range at
all terminals ongoing this afternoon. Increasing cloud cover
through the afternoon ahead of a cold front but VFR conditions
are expected through 21Z, if not longer. As precipitation moves
in from west to east, we will see a period of prevailing MVFR
vsby and ceilings across KMSS and KSLK after 18Z with localized
IFR as rain transitions to snow as precipitation tapers off.
Precipitation will struggle to make it east of KSLK so we have
limited any mention of rain showers to PROB30 groups or no
mention at all. The gusty south winds will veer to the west and
ultimately northwest as the frontal moves across the region this
afternoon and evening. Conditions will improve behind departing
front between 12-18z Sunday.

Outlook...

Sunday Night: VFR. Chance SHSN.
Monday: Mainly MVFR and IFR, with areas VFR possible. Likely
SHSN, Chance SHRA.
Monday Night: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. Chance SHRA,
Chance SHSN.
Tuesday: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. Slight chance
SHRA, Slight chance SHSN.
Tuesday Night: Mainly MVFR, with areas VFR possible. Slight
chance SHSN.
Wednesday: Mainly MVFR, with areas VFR possible. Slight chance
SHRA, Slight chance SHSN.
Wednesday Night: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. NO SIG WX.
Thursday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Slight chance
SHRA.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...Neiles
NEAR TERM...Neiles
SHORT TERM...Kremer
LONG TERM...Kremer
AVIATION...Neiles