Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Burlington, VT

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FXUS61 KBTV 170733
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
333 AM EDT Tue Sep 17 2019

.SYNOPSIS...
Quiet weather continues for the rest of the week as high pressure
dominates over the North Country through to the weekend. High
temperatures look to warm each day with this weekend seeing a return
to the 80s. The next significant chance for rainfall will not likely
be until the start of next week.
.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 332 AM EDT Tuesday...A great stretch of late summer/early fall
weather continues as a ridge of high pressure dominates the weather
across most of the Northeastern US. Currently, with mostly clear
skies over the area many of the valley locations have reached their
crossover temperatures and fog is forming in the favored valley
locations. This fog will last until a bit after sunrise and then
quickly burn off, leading to another mostly clear and dry day with
highs in the upper 60s and some areas reaching 70.

Northerly will continue tonight, leading to another cool night with
fog again expected in the valleys. A chance for some parts of the
Dacks and NEK seeing frost/freeze conditions tonight is not out of
the question as well. Look for overnight lows in the 40s with higher
elevations in the 30s.

Wednesday will be more of the same with continued northerly flow,
minimal cloud cover and high temperatures in the upper 60s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 332 AM EDT Tuesday...For the middle to end of the work week,
surface high pressure over the Northeast and a ridge aloft just west
of the CWA will control the North Country`s weather with a continued
abundance of sunshine during the daylight hours, and clear skies at
night. An increasing south/southwesterly return flow will allow
temps to warm slightly each day with highs Thursday in the low 70s,
and Friday mid 70s. Lows will follow suit in the 30s/40s Wednesday
night with some patchy frost possible, then 40s/50s Thursday night.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 332 AM EDT Tuesday...Heading into the weekend, the
aforementioned upper ridge will center over the Northeast Saturday,
while high pressure strengthens over the southeast. This combination
will continue the warming trend from the previous days with a return
of summer as highs push into the upper 70s to low 80s for Saturday
and Sunday. On Sunday, we should see some gusty winds across the
region as the pressure gradient increases between high pressure over
the area and an approaching frontal boundary, but the day should be
dry. Chances for rain increase heading into Sunday night and early
next week as low pressure moving over James Bay drags a cold front
through the region, but timing of the frontal passage is still
uncertain with a good 24-hour difference in timing amongst guidance.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Through 06Z Wednesday...Main aviation concern will be IFR/LIFR
fog development between 06-08z in favored terminals, KSLK & KMPV
with patchy IFR fog at KMSS. KBTV may see some advective fog
towards sunrise with light NE drainage wind expected. Otherwise,
expect SKC and light winds overnight. All fog will dissipate
toward 13z trending SKC tomorrow with generally light north
winds across the area. KBTV & KPBG could see gusts around 15 kt
in the afternoon.

Outlook...

Tuesday Night: VFR. Patchy BR.
Wednesday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Wednesday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Thursday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Thursday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Friday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Friday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Saturday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. NO SIG WX.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...Verasamy
NEAR TERM...Verasamy
SHORT TERM...Lahiff
LONG TERM...Lahiff
AVIATION...LaRocca/Verasamy


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