Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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FXUS65 KFGZ 220958

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
258 AM MST Sun Apr 22 2018

.SYNOPSIS...Warmer temperatures, lighter winds, and mostly dry
conditions can be expected through much of next week.


.DISCUSSION...Above normal temperatures and generally light winds
will be the main story for northern Arizona over the next several
days. Temperatures will be around 10 degrees above normal through
much of next week. A weak disturbance will drift across northern
Mexico today, bringing some mid and high level clouds to the area,
but precipitation chances look minimal. Typical spring afternoon
breezes will occur each afternoon next week, but there are no
indications of any stronger winds events until potentially late
next week.

With the warm daytime temperatures and limited boundary layer
moisture, there will be some afternoon cumulus buildups over high
terrain especially Wednesday through Friday. There is a slight
chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms mainly across the
higher terrain of Apache County including the White Mountains
Wednesday through Friday.


.AVIATION...For the 12Z package...Expect VFR conditions across
northern Arizona for the next 24 hrs. Increasing mid and high level
clouds Sunday. Southwest winds 5 to 10 kts after 18z becoming light
and variable after 02z. Aviation discussion not updated for TAF


.FIRE WEATHER...A warming trend will continue Sunday and Monday
with predominantly southwest winds.

Tuesday through Thursday...Warm and dry conditions continue through
Tuesday with typical spring afternoon breezes. A slight chance of
thunderstorms is possible Wednesday and Thursday over the White






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