Great Lakes Forecast
Issued by NWS

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163
FZUS61 KBUF 171502
GLFLO

Open Lake Forecast for Lake Ontario
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1002 AM EST Tue Feb 17 2026

For waters beyond five nautical miles of shore on Lake Ontario

Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest
1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of
the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum.

.SYNOPSIS...A 30.1 inch ridge will build over the lower Great Lakes
today. An elongated 29.4 inch low will stretch from Minnesota to the
central Great Lakes Wednesday, with one piece of this low passing
just south of the lake Wednesday night. A 29.3 inch low will develop
over the central Plains Thursday, then move to the central Great
Lakes by Friday night, weakening to 29.7 inches as it moves just
north of Lake Ontario Saturday. A 30.4 inch high will then slowly
build east across the Great Lakes through early next week.

LOZ062-063-172200-
Lake Ontario open waters from the Niagara River to Sodus Bay-
1002 AM EST Tue Feb 17 2026

.THIS AFTERNOON...West winds 5 to 10 knots. Widespread dense fog.
Waves 1 to 3 feet.
.TONIGHT...West winds 10 knots or less becoming east and
increasing to 15 to 20 knots after midnight. Widespread dense
fog. A chance of rain and snow late. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
.WEDNESDAY...East winds 15 to 25 knots becoming northeast to
30 knots. Rain, snow, sleet and freezing rain. Waves 3 to 5 feet
building to 5 to 9 feet. Waves occasionally around 11 feet.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Snow, freezing
rain and rain in the evening, then a chance of snow and freezing
rain overnight. Waves 5 to 8 feet subsiding to 3 to 5 feet. Waves
occasionally around 10 feet.
.THURSDAY...East winds 15 to 25 knots. A chance of rain and
freezing rain Thursday night. Waves 2 to 4 feet building to 5 to
8 feet. Waves occasionally around 10 feet.
.FRIDAY...East winds to 30 knots becoming west and diminishing to
15 to 20 knots. Rain with a chance of freezing rain during the
day, then rain with a chance of snow Friday night. Waves 6 to
9 feet subsiding to 3 to 6 feet. Waves occasionally around
11 feet.
.SATURDAY...West winds 15 to 20 knots becoming north 10 to
15 knots. A chance of snow showers. Waves 3 to 5 feet subsiding
to 2 to 4 feet.

$$

LOZ064-065-172200-
Lake Ontario open waters from Sodus Bay to the Saint Lawrence
River-
1002 AM EST Tue Feb 17 2026

.THIS AFTERNOON...West winds 5 to 10 knots. Widespread dense fog.
Waves 1 to 3 feet.
.TONIGHT...West winds 10 knots or less becoming northeast.
Widespread dense fog. Waves 2 feet or less.
.WEDNESDAY...Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to
20 knots. Snow and rain. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 3 to
5 feet.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Snow with a
chance of freezing rain in the evening, then a chance of freezing
rain and snow overnight. Waves 3 to 5 feet subsiding to 2 to
4 feet.
.THURSDAY...Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots becoming east. A
chance of freezing rain Thursday night. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
.FRIDAY...East winds 15 to 25 knots becoming southwest. Rain,
snow with a chance of freezing rain during the day, then snow and
rain Friday night. Waves 2 to 4 feet building to 3 to 5 feet.
.SATURDAY...Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots becoming north 10 to
15 knots. A chance of snow showers and freezing rain during the
day, then a chance of snow showers Saturday night. Waves 3 to
5 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.

$$

LOZ061-172200-
MAFOR 1716/
ONTARIO WEST 1/2 13604 11704 11104 11214 11224 11237. Waves 2
feet or less this afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less building to 1
to 3 feet tonight. Waves 3 to 5 feet building to 4 to 7 feet, and
occasionally around 9 feet Wednesday morning.

ONTARIO EAST 1/2 14604 11704 11104 11117 19114 11127. Waves 1 to
3 feet this afternoon. Waves 2 feet or less tonight. Waves 1 to 3
feet building to 2 to 4 feet Wednesday morning.

$$