084
FXUS63 KFGF 101902
AFDFGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
202 PM CDT Thu Oct 10 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Potential for widespread freezing temperatures early next
  week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 202 PM CDT Thu Oct 10 2024

...Synopsis...

The upper level ridge starts to break down and a weak low
pressure system moves through this weekend to bring us a slight
chance for precipitation. During the work week a ridging pattern
will set back up to keep us dry during the week.

The upper level ridge will break down this evening and begin to
flatten. The Northern Plains will be in a brief dry westerly
flow for Friday before a weak low pressure system gives us a
slight chance for precipitation this weekend. NBM paints a 30
percent chance for exceeding 0.25 inches over Northwest
Minnesota and the Angle Inlet area. If this system takes a more
southern path then chances would increase further south in the
upper portions of West Central Minnesota. However, the dry air
from Friday and the weaker forcing may prevent any precipitation
from reaching ground or may have a brief shower overnight when
the air becomes more saturated. I wouldn`t be surprised if the
Northern portion of the Lake of the Woods area gets a few
hundredths.

After this weekend a stronger ridge is setting up over the
Northern Plains. This area of high pressure will give us our
chances for widespread frost/freeze potential in the morning.
Temperatures look to be in the upper 20`s and low 30`s as a
colder airmass starts to make its way down from Canada. With the
high pressure in place radiational cooling will be pretty
efficient giving us a higher chance to see those lower
temperatures and greater frost freeze potential into the
overnight hours.


&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY/...
Issued at 1235 PM CDT Thu Oct 10 2024

TAFs will be VFR throughout the forecast period. Expecting our
mixing potential to start within the next few hours. If this
occurs winds may gust up to 30 mph for airports within the
valley (KGFK, KTVF, KFAR). A cold front is expected to shift our
southerly winds to the North starting around 04z from west to
east.

&&

.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ND...None.
MN...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...MM
AVIATION...MM