Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Hastings, NE

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000
FXUS63 KGID 271752
AFDGID

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Hastings NE
1152 AM CST Fri Jan 27 2023

.DISCUSSION...(Today through Thursday)
Issued at 415 AM CST Fri Jan 27 2023

Key Messages:
* Snow showers for some areas this morning.

* Main band of snow for tonight and Saturday morning is trending
  north.

* Off and on light snow Sunday and Sunday night. This will be
  "pesky," with only minor accumulation expected.

* High confidence in bitter cold Saturday through middle of next
  week.

Details:
Regional radar is showing showers moving across central Nebraska.
These should be primarily rain mixed with snow and sleet at
times. Air temperatures are fortunately above freezing across much
of the area, but roads may be cold enough to see at least a few
slick spots for this morning`s commute.

These showers will clear out by mid morning, and daytime high
temperatures should be able to climb into the upper 30s or even
low 40s for most. Winds will also taper off this afternoon. Take
advantage of the nice day today, because colder days are ahead...

A band of snow is still expected to set up late tonight as a
shortwave moves through the broad, deepening trough. That said,
models have trended this band farther north, reducing the threat
for wintry precipitation for our area. There is still some chance
for light freezing drizzle and light snow this evening through
Saturday morning for areas north of I-80, but even our far north
(north of Hwy 92) may struggle to get an inch or two of snowfall
through midday Saturday

Temperatures then plummet through the day on Saturday as surface
low passes to our east. Most locations will see high temperatures
occur in the early morning hours. This will also be accompanied by
north winds gusting to around 35 MPH. Some blowing snow is
possible, but with such little snow expected, this threat is
rather limited. This wind and intrusion of polar air will result
in wind chills as low as -25 degrees by Sunday morning. A Wind
Chill Advisory will likely be need to be issued by upcoming
shifts.

The 00Z model suite is more favorable for off/on light snow
continuing into Sunday as well. QPF output is pretty meager, but
most models at least have some signal. This snow should be pretty
dry/fluffy given the cold air. Most locations will only pick up a
dusting, but I would not be surprised to see some spots pick up an
additional 0.5-1.0" of new snowfall through Sunday night.

Overnight wind chills are expected to be in the -15 to -25 degree
range for at least portions of the area each night through at
least Tuesday. Air temperatures will dip below zero for much of
the area as well. Temperatures then gradually begin to trend
upwards from Wednesday onwards.



&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z KGRI/KEAR TAFS through 18Z Saturday)
Issued at 1140 AM CST Fri Jan 27 2023

Northwest winds will weaken and become southerly by this evening.
Wind shear is expected this evening beginning around 05z and
continuing until around 12z. Winds will begin to strengthen out of
the north between 15z and 18z. Ceilings are expected to lower to
IFR levels around 12z and persisting through the rest of the TAF
period.

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Mangels
AVIATION...Schuldt


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