Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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FXUS64 KMAF 181936
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
236 PM CDT Thu Jul 18 2019

.DISCUSSION...
Very strong heating on the higher terrain will combine with
weakness along the periphery of the upper ridge to produce
isolated to scattered mainly afternoon and evening thunderstorms
through Sunday from the southeast New Mexico plains south to the
Guadalupe and Davis Mountains (including the immediate adjacent
plains). The steering flow is forecast to be weak so significant
severe weather is not expected and storms will not be able
to push eastward much from near the mountains.

By early next week increasing northeasterly flow aloft is forecast
as the upper ridge retrogrades toward the Four Corners region and
an upper level trough develops across the eastern half of the
nation. This flow will allow a cold front to move through the
region late Sunday and increase rain chances Monday and Tuesday
areawide with below normal temperatures expected. Preferred to
move precipitation chances further south quicker than NBM
guidance based on the projected strength of the front so
precipitation chances would decrease quicker by next Wednesday
and Thursday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     76 101  75  99 /   0   0   0   0
Carlsbad                       75 103  74 103 /  10  20  20  10
Dryden                         75 100  74  99 /   0   0  10   0
Fort Stockton                  75 100  74 100 /  10  10  10   0
Guadalupe Pass                 73  95  73  95 /  20  20  20  30
Hobbs                          73 101  72  99 /  10  10  20   0
Marfa                          63  92  61  92 /  20  20  20  20
Midland Intl Airport           75 101  75 100 /   0   0  10   0
Odessa                         75 101  74 100 /   0   0  10   0
Wink                           76 104  75 103 /  10  10  20   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

27/12



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