Area Forecast Discussion Issued by NWS Nashville, TN
000
FXUS64 KOHX 271624
AFDOHX
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1024 AM CST Fri Jan 27 2023
...New UPDATE...
.UPDATE...
Issued at 1019 AM CST Fri Jan 27 2023
Current forecast is on track and no changes were needed. Current
10 am temperatures aren/t too far off from what afternoon highs
were yesterday. Today the area will see a lot more sun with highs
ranging from the mid 40s to the mid 50s. It will be breezy this
afternoon with southwest wind 15 to 20 with gusts up to 30 mph and
locally higher along the Tennessee River.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Saturday)
Issued at 300 AM CST Fri Jan 27 2023
A nice rebound in temperatures is expected today from morning lows
spanning the 20s as highs today are expected to be at or slightly
above seasonal normal values. Highs today will range low to mid
5Os, mid 40s to around 50 Cumberland Plateau Region. Lows tonight
should generally be in the low to mid 30s. Highs on Saturday will
continue to reflect this developing warm air advection scenario as
they span the 50s. Dry conditions will prevail due to surface high
pressure influences whose apex will slide west to east across deep
south over the short term time period as upper level flow
generally remains quasi zonal.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Saturday Night through next Friday)
Issued at 300 AM CST Fri Jan 27 2023
Increasing moisture along with increasing shower chance will
spread west to east across mid state region as Saturday night
progresses. Numerous showers will be possible during the day on
Sunday. Some lingering moisture mainly resulting in isolated to
scattered showers continuing across mainly locations east of I-65
Corridor will be possible Sunday night as a surface cold front
from our northwest moves through our area late Sunday night and
upper level flow becomes increasingly southwesterly oriented.
Total rainfall amounts associated with this system will be around
0.50 inch northwest to just over one inch southwest. Look for
temperatures to be around seasonal normal values on Sunday.
Some light sprinkles may be possible on Monday into Monday night
for locations mainly west of I-65 Corridor. A overall more
sustained active weather pattern is expected for mid state region
Tuesday through Thursday of next work week. Mainly scattered to
numerous showers will be possible through this time period. Also,
as cold air to our north tries to work into at least northwest
portions of mid state region Tuesday night and again late
Wednesday night, a light rain/light freezing rain mixture mainly
across northwest portions of our area could be possible. Overall
temperatures as next work week progresses will fall to below
seasonal normal values. As for rainfall amounts expected Monday
night through Thursday afternoon, around 0.75 inch expected across
northwestern locations to locations approaching the TN/AL Border
Region experiencing up to two inches of rainfall.
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 524 AM CST Fri Jan 27 2023
VFR conditions are expected for the forecast period. Winds will
increase to around 10-15 kts out of the SSW by mid to late morning
with gusts up to 20-30 kts. The highest gusts are expected to be
at CKV. The gusts will decrease this evening as mixing diminishes. Winds
will eventually decrease to around 5 kts after 06z.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville 54 36 58 44 / 0 0 0 80
Clarksville 53 36 57 44 / 0 0 0 90
Crossville 45 30 52 37 / 0 0 0 40
Columbia 52 33 57 43 / 0 0 0 80
Cookeville 48 33 55 41 / 0 0 0 60
Jamestown 46 32 53 39 / 0 0 0 40
Lawrenceburg 52 33 56 43 / 0 0 0 70
Murfreesboro 52 32 57 42 / 0 0 0 70
Waverly 53 36 56 44 / 0 0 0 90
&&
.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
$$
UPDATE.......12
SHORT TERM...JB Wright
LONG TERM....JB Wright
AVIATION.....Reagan