Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN

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FXUS64 KOHX 271624
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1024 AM CST Fri Jan 27 2023

...New UPDATE...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1019 AM CST Fri Jan 27 2023

Current forecast is on track and no changes were needed. Current
10 am temperatures aren/t too far off from what afternoon highs
were yesterday. Today the area will see a lot more sun with highs
ranging from the mid 40s to the mid 50s. It will be breezy this
afternoon with southwest wind 15 to 20 with gusts up to 30 mph and
locally higher along the Tennessee River.


&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Saturday)
Issued at 300 AM CST Fri Jan 27 2023

A nice rebound in temperatures is expected today from morning lows
spanning the 20s as highs today are expected to be at or slightly
above seasonal normal values. Highs today will range low to mid
5Os, mid 40s to around 50 Cumberland Plateau Region. Lows tonight
should generally be in the low to mid 30s. Highs on Saturday will
continue to reflect this developing warm air advection scenario as
they span the 50s. Dry conditions will prevail due to surface high
pressure influences whose apex will slide west to east across deep
south over the short term time period as upper level flow
generally remains quasi zonal.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday Night through next Friday)
Issued at 300 AM CST Fri Jan 27 2023

Increasing moisture along with increasing shower chance will
spread west to east across mid state region as Saturday night
progresses. Numerous showers will be possible during the day on
Sunday. Some lingering moisture mainly resulting in isolated to
scattered showers continuing across mainly locations east of I-65
Corridor will be possible Sunday night as a surface cold front
from our northwest moves through our area late Sunday night and
upper level flow becomes increasingly southwesterly oriented.
Total rainfall amounts associated with this system will be around
0.50 inch northwest to just over one inch southwest. Look for
temperatures to be around seasonal normal values on Sunday.

Some light sprinkles may be possible on Monday into Monday night
for locations mainly west of I-65 Corridor. A overall more
sustained active weather pattern is expected for mid state region
Tuesday through Thursday of next work week. Mainly scattered to
numerous showers will be possible through this time period. Also,
as cold air to our north tries to work into at least northwest
portions of mid state region Tuesday night and again late
Wednesday night, a light rain/light freezing rain mixture mainly
across northwest portions of our area could be possible. Overall
temperatures as next work week progresses will fall to below
seasonal normal values. As for rainfall amounts expected Monday
night through Thursday afternoon, around 0.75 inch expected across
northwestern locations to locations approaching the TN/AL Border
Region experiencing up to two inches of rainfall.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 524 AM CST Fri Jan 27 2023

VFR conditions are expected for the forecast period. Winds will
increase to around 10-15 kts out of the SSW by mid to late morning
with gusts up to 20-30 kts. The highest gusts are expected to be
at CKV. The gusts will decrease this evening as mixing diminishes. Winds
will eventually decrease to around 5 kts after 06z.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      54  36  58  44 /   0   0   0  80
Clarksville    53  36  57  44 /   0   0   0  90
Crossville     45  30  52  37 /   0   0   0  40
Columbia       52  33  57  43 /   0   0   0  80
Cookeville     48  33  55  41 /   0   0   0  60
Jamestown      46  32  53  39 /   0   0   0  40
Lawrenceburg   52  33  56  43 /   0   0   0  70
Murfreesboro   52  32  57  42 /   0   0   0  70
Waverly        53  36  56  44 /   0   0   0  90

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

UPDATE.......12
SHORT TERM...JB Wright
LONG TERM....JB Wright
AVIATION.....Reagan


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