


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN
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515 FXUS64 KOHX 140353 AFDOHX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Nashville TN 1053 PM CDT Sun Jul 13 2025 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 958 PM CDT Sun Jul 13 2025 - Afternoon and evening thunderstorms will continue through the week. - Although the severe weather risk is low, heavy rainfall, gusty winds, and frequent lightning will be possible. - Warming trend will take place this week as many locations will near or surpass 100F for heat indicies. && .SHORT TERM... (Tonight through Tuesday Night) Issued at 958 PM CDT Sun Jul 13 2025 Storms have dissipated this evening giving way to a quiet but very warm and muggy night. A few showers and storms remain well north across Kentucky and expect that to continue through the overnight hours. Some patchy dense fog will develop especially in areas that experienced heavy downpours earlier today. Monday should be a carbon copy of Sunday`s weather with another round of afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms across the area. Impacts should be similar with gusty winds, lightning, and brief heavy rainfall. For Tuesday...coverage of storms looks to be slightly less and as somewhat of a warming trend takes shape with Highs in the low 90s expected. The Heat Index readings will also start climbing closer to that triple digit mark as well. && .LONG TERM... (Wednesday through next Monday) Issued at 958 PM CDT Sun Jul 13 2025 Wednesday through Friday look quite similar with best coverage of afternoon and evening convection remaining across the Plateau region. With that said, locations west of the Plateau will definitely feel the affects of the lack of storm and cloud coverage as Highs in the low to mid 90s and Heat Index values 100+F can be expected. By the weekend, a little more uncertainty takes shape with a bit better coverage of storms possibly on Saturday. However if that doesn`t quite materialize, it`s safe to say the lack of convection and cloud cover definitely equals hotter temps to deal with as we go through the weekend and into next week. So yeah, welcome to Peak Summer in Middle Tennessee! && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 643PM CDT Sun Jul 13 2025 As SHRA exit the area to the east, conditions will calm down in that regard. Could see some IFR conditions due to fog at eastern sites (KSRB/KCSV). Winds will diminish overnight to light and variable. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Nashville 93 74 93 74 / 60 40 50 10 Clarksville 90 73 89 73 / 50 50 50 10 Crossville 86 66 87 66 / 60 20 50 10 Columbia 91 72 92 72 / 50 40 50 10 Cookeville 87 69 87 69 / 50 20 50 10 Jamestown 86 68 86 68 / 50 30 50 10 Lawrenceburg 91 71 91 71 / 50 30 40 10 Murfreesboro 93 71 93 72 / 50 30 40 10 Waverly 89 71 89 72 / 50 40 50 10 && .OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...Hurley LONG TERM....Hurley AVIATION.....Holley