Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
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000
ACUS03 KWNS 060816
SWODY3
SPC AC 060815

Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0215 AM CST Mon Dec 06 2021

Valid 081200Z - 091200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms appear unlikely across the contiguous United
States on Wednesday.

...Synopsis and Discussion...
Isolated weak/elevated thunderstorms may be ongoing at the start of
the period Wednesday morning across parts of the Southeast in a
modest low-level warm advection regime. As a large-scale upper
trough moves quickly eastward across much of the eastern CONUS, this
convection is forecast to likewise develop eastward towards the
Atlantic Coast. Elevated instability ahead of this activity should
remain quite meager due to a prior frontal intrusion into the
northern Gulf of Mexico. There also appears to be some chance that
modest low-level moisture may be able to advance inland across parts
of north FL and southern GA by Wednesday afternoon. Regardless,
mid-level lapse rates are forecast to be particularly poor, which
should limit the degree of MLCAPE that can develop. While a few
surface-based storms could form across this area during the day, the
weak forecast instability suggests that the overall severe potential
should remain low.

..Gleason.. 12/06/2021

$$


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