Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX

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FXUS64 KSJT 241127

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
627 AM CDT Sat Mar 24 2018

/12Z TAFS/

Low clouds are finally starting to make their way north across the
southern half of our forecast area, affecting KJCT, and will be at
KBBD and KSOA between 12Z and 13Z. If they keep going, KSJT will
likely see these low clouds by 14Z, but they may start to scatter
before making it that far north, so will only carry a TEMPO for
MVFR CIGs at KSJT for now. All low clouds should scatter out by
late morning or early afternoon. A cold front will disrupt
southerly flow across the area, bringing north/northeast winds
into the area late morning into early afternoon. These winds will
eventually turn back around to the southeast this evening. 20


.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 408 AM CDT Sat Mar 24 2018/

(Today and Tonight)

A relatively quiet and warm forecast can be expected for Saturday
and Saturday night across west central Texas. An upper level low
currently moving across the central plains will send a weak cold
front into the region tomorrow. The front is expected to make it
through the Big Country area during the morning hours, then likely
stall before it reaches the I-10 corridor. The main effect of the
front will be to turn winds northerly for the afternoon hours
across the Big Country. However, temperatures are still expected
to warm well into the 80s across the Big Country, and into the
upper 80s to lower 90s for the rest of the area south of the front
where dry air may push in from the west, aiding in warming. San
Angelo will flirt with its record high of 93 degrees, which was
set in 1988.

By early evening, the front will be retreating back to the north
and winds will turn back to the south and southeast. Moisture will
again surge back to the north, keeping overnight lows warm, and
bringing back another round of late night low clouds to the
southern 2/3 of the CWA.

(Sunday through Friday)

Significant changes to the weather are expected through the next
7 days as an upper level low pressure system develops across the
western U.S. This system will drop down and strengthen across
Arizona and New Mexico before moving east across Texas. At this
point there remains a threat for severe weather on Sunday
afternoon. Primary concerns at this point appear to be mainly
large hail and some damaging winds. Additional severe weather may
be possible on Monday and Tuesday as well. Please check back later
for any developments with regards to the possible severe weather.

On a different note, high temperatures in the mid 90s on Sunday
may be near or above record values. High temperatures on Sunday
look to be high enough to break the record for San Angelo. High
temperatures will come close to the record in Abilene.

Otherwise, rain chances look to be plentiful this week beginning
on Sunday afternoon and running through most of the week. The
increased cloud cover and rainfall will help to keep temperatures
down through the week. In fact, additional cooling will result
from a passing cold front by mid week. Then, a bit drier
conditions will return by the end of the week.


Abilene  87  61  91  65 /   0  10   5  20
San Angelo  93  60  94  61 /   0   5   5  20
Junction  91  63  90  62 /   0   5  10  20
Brownwood  88  61  89  62 /   0   5  20  30
Sweetwater  87  61  91  63 /   0   5   0  10
Ozona       92  59  90  60 /   0   5   5  20



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