Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Hastings, NE

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FXUS63 KGID 152318
AFDGID

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hastings NE
618 PM CDT Tue Oct 15 2019

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Wednesday)
Issued at 305 PM CDT Tue Oct 15 2019

The gusty northwest winds will continue through the rest of the
afternoon, but should quickly diminish this evening as mixing
decreases and high pressure slides in from the north. With mostly
clear skies, temperatures for tonight have trended lower by a
degree or two. The entire area should see freezing temperatures
and some may drop as low as the mid 20s.

Wednesday will only be a couple degrees warmer than today as high
presure slowly shifts to the east. The good news is that winds
will be much lighter than today.

By evening, winds will be steady out of the south, and a weak
disturbance to the north could bring some high cloud cover the
area. As a result Wednesday night`s lows are forecast to remain
above freezing.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday night through Tuesday)
Issued at 305 PM CDT Tue Oct 15 2019

The area will see the dry weather continue and more of a warmup
on Thursday as midlevel ridging dominates the central CONUS.

On Friday, the next trough will be crossing the Rockies which
will push a front into the area. Temperatures on Friday will
depend on the exact timing of the front, but for now it looks like
most of the area will see a warm and breezy day with highs in the
mid 70s to near 80 degrees.

Rain chances for Friday evening have trended higher as models
continue to show at least some precipitation along the front. With
fairly strong frontal forcing and at least some instability, a
few thunderstorms appear possible as well. This would favor areas
south and east of the tri-cities.

Even after this front pushes through, Saturday should end up
being a pretty nice day with light winds and highs in the 60s.
Another trough will push into the area by Saturday night, though.

This trough will bring chances for rain and possibly a few
thunderstorms to the entire area late Saturday night through
Sunday. That said, it won`t be wet this entire time and some
models actually keep portions or all of our forecast area dry as
we end up in a bit of a dry slot. Nevertheless, this system will
be stronger than the previous trough, so expect gusty south winds
on Sunday, shifting to the northwest for Sunday evening into
Monday.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z KGRI/KEAR TAFS through 00Z Wednesday)
Issued at 612 PM CDT Tue Oct 15 2019

A surface high will build into the region and winds will diminish.
First, the gusts will diminish then slowly the winds will come
down during the night. As the surface high moves to the east
winds will turn back to the south.

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
KS...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Mangels
LONG TERM...Mangels
AVIATION...JCB


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