Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS North Platte, NE

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FXUS63 KLBF 161128
AFDLBF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service North Platte NE
628 AM CDT Tue Jul 16 2019

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Wednesday)
Issued at 328 AM CDT Tue Jul 16 2019

There are two main concerns for the short term period. The first
main concern deals with the heat. Tuesday highs will reach the
upper 80s to mid 90s across southwest Nebraska. However, heat
indicies on Tuesday will be below the criteria of 100 degrees so
no headline was issued for Tuesday.

As for Wednesday, decided to match up with our surrounding
offices and add an excessive heat watch for Wed. Highs will reach
the 90s with dewpoints in the 70s across the watch area. Heat
indicies will reach 105 degrees.

The next concern this period is the chance of thunderstorms
Tuesday afternoon and evening. There was some discrepancies in
the models with timing and placement of the storm development.
Consensus trended towards our northern CWA having the best chance
for thunderstorms. Timing wise, thunderstorms are expected to
develop mid afternoon across western Nebraska and should spread
eastward. Any thunderstorms that do develop have the potential to
become strong to severe.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday night through Monday)
Issued at 328 AM CDT Tue Jul 16 2019

Highs will reach the upper 90s across southwest Nebraska on
Thursday with a few 100 degree temperatures possible across
southwest Nebraska on Friday. Heat indicies will be in the upper
90s to near 100 degrees so will need to continue to monitor for
more heat headlines as we approach Thursday and Friday should heat
indicies rise to 100 degrees and become more widespread.

There is a slight chance for thunderstorms on Wednesday then drier
weather will exist for Thursday through the day Sunday. The next
chance for thunderstorms will be Sunday evening.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Wednesday morning)
Issued at 628 AM CDT Tue Jul 16 2019

Clouds and isolated thunderstorms will move out of western and
north central Nebraska this morning. Skies will be mostly clear
today with a small chance for thunderstorms late this afternoon
and evening across northern Nebraska. Storms may impact the KVTN
terminal this evening, however some timing differences were noted
with the latest model solutions, so will handle mention with a
VCTS group for now.

&&

.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Excessive Heat Watch from Wednesday afternoon through Wednesday
evening for NEZ007-010-027>029-038-059-071.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Gomez
LONG TERM...Gomez
AVIATION...Buttler



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