221
FXUS65 KFGZ 230800
AFDFGZ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
100 AM MST Fri May 23 2025

.SYNOPSIS...Dry conditions and seasonable daytime temperatures will
continue well into next week. Expect breezy afternoons, especially
this Friday through Sunday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...After one more day today of just above normal
temperatures, the region will return to normal readings and breezier
afternoons, especially today and through the weekend. Winds speeds
should stay away from trouble fo the most part, but will enhance
enough that we should all be thinking about fire safety.

The trough responsible for the lower temperatures/increased wind
speeds is lacking in moisture and is dynamically weak. We may see
some puffier mid-level clouds from time to time, but precipitation
is not expected.

Kind of an open pattern sticks around next week, not really a trough
and not really a ridge. Hghts will remain around seasonal normals.
Expect warm and breezy days, with little to no chance for
precipitation for most of next week.

&&

.AVIATION...Friday 23/06Z through Saturday 24/06Z...VFR conditions
outside of localized reduced visibility due to fire activity.
Winds light from the south to southwest overnight then after 16Z,
becoming southwest at 10-20 kts gusting to 30 kts, diminishing
after 02Z.

OUTLOOK...Saturday 24/06Z through Monday 26/06Z...VFR conditions
outside of localized reduced visibility due to fire activity.
Early on Saturday, winds from the south to southwest at 5-15 kts
increase to 10-20 kts with gusts up to 30 kts by midday. Winds
remaining locally gusty downwind of terrain Saturday night, light
and variable elsewhere. Sunday will see lighter winds from the
west to southwest at 5-15 kts.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...Friday and Saturday...Expect southwest winds each
afternoon, 15 to 25 mph, with gusts as high as 35 mph. A slight
cooling trend develops from today into Saturday. Minimum relative
humidity values below 10 to 15 percent will cause some areas of near
critical fire weather conditions to develop each day.

Sunday through Tuesday...Temperatures slightly below normal and dry
for this period. Southwest through west winds 10 to 20 mph Sunday
and Monday, turning southerly on Tuesday.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...None.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...Peterson
AVIATION...McCollum
FIRE WEATHER...Peterson

For Northern Arizona weather information visit
weather.gov/flagstaff