Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
741
FNUS54 KMAF 112046
FWFMAF
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for West Texas/Southeast New Mexico
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
346 PM CDT Sat May 11 2024
.DISCUSSION...
Some wetting rains have occurred across portions of the Permian
Basin and a few more storms are possible this afternoon/early
evening. Unfortunately, rain hasn`t fallout out west where it`s
needed the most, but overnight moisture recovery will still be
excellent tonight. Very dry conditions develop by tomorrow
afternoon with increased winds out west. While RFTIs are pushing
5-6+ out west, will maintain the idea of near-critical conditions
due to the good recovery the last few nights and the limited
duration of critical conditions. At the very least, an RFD is
prudent but should any lightning starts occur with this
afternoon`s possible storms, an upgrade may be in order. Beyond
Sunday, it will still be very dry out west each afternoon but
lighter winds keep fire concerns low.
&&
For point-specific forecasts please see the Point Fire Weather
Matrix product issued by the Midland/Odessa National Weather
Service Office.
NMZ116-121000-
Sacramento Foothills and Guadalupe Mountains-
246 PM MDT Sat May 11 2024
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type Tstms None None None
Chance Precip (%) 30 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 46 (-9) 79 (+9) 47 80
RH % (24h trend) 89 (+18) 9 (-30) 58 15
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SE 14 W 9 W 16 NW 7
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 8 W 20 NW 9 N 9
LAL 2 1 1 1
Haines Index 6 4 5 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 27 30 32 22
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 11720 11940
Transport Wnd (kts) W 27 NW 13
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 316440 155220
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 0 4 4 0
RFTI Category Nil Near Crit Near Crit Nil
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers. Lows
in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum relative humidity
at or below 15 percent. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 70s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. West winds around
15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest
winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
upper 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West
winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$
NMZ117-121000-
Chaves Plains-
246 PM MDT Sat May 11 2024
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type Tstms None None None
Chance Precip (%) 40 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 52 (-6) 85 (+14) 47 84
RH % (24h trend) 100 (+37) 10 (-39) 77 15
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SE 16 SW 8 NW 14 N 7
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 13 W 16 NW 9 N 8
LAL 3 1 1 1
Haines Index 4 4 5 3
Wind 10000 FT MSL 31 24 30 17
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 13660 11960
Transport Wnd (kts) W 24 N 14
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 327840 167440
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 0 3 3 0
RFTI Category Nil Near Crit Near Crit Nil
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
upper 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. East
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Chance of
precipitation 30 percent. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 70s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. North winds around
15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest
winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
lower 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
Southwest winds around 10 mph.
$$
NMZ118-121000-
Eddy Plains-
246 PM MDT Sat May 11 2024
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type Tstms None None None
Chance Precip (%) 30 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 54 (-7) 88 (+14) 53 86
RH % (24h trend) 96 (+36) 8 (-40) 55 14
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SE 16 SW 7 W 15 NW 8
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SE 13 W 19 NW 10 N 8
LAL 2 1 1 1
Haines Index 5 4 5 4
Wind 10000 FT MSL 27 29 33 21
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 12870 12640
Transport Wnd (kts) W 25 N 14
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 321750 176960
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 0 5 5 0
RFTI Category Nil Critical Critical Nil
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs around 90.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. East winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs around 90. Minimum
relative humidity above 15 percent. Southeast winds around
15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. North winds around
15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs around 90.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest winds
around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. South
winds around 10 mph.
$$
NMZ119-121000-
Lea-
246 PM MDT Sat May 11 2024
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Clear
Precip Type Tstms None None None
Chance Precip (%) 30 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 54 (-4) 86 (+18) 50 85
RH % (24h trend) 100 (+34) 7 (-44) 74 14
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SE 15 S 9 W 13 N 10
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SE 13 W 17 NW 9 NW 9
LAL 3 1 1 1
Haines Index 3 5 6 3
Wind 10000 FT MSL 29 30 31 21
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 12770 13150
Transport Wnd (kts) SW 25 N 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 319250 223550
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 0 5 4 0
RFTI Category Nil Critical Near Crit Nil
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows around 60. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum
relative humidity above 15 percent. Southeast winds around
15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs around 80. Minimum
relative humidity above 15 percent. North winds around 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest
winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Highs in the lower 90s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest winds
10 to 15 mph.
$$
TXZ270-271-121000-
Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-
Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-
Including the cities of Guadalupe Mountains National Park and
Pine Springs
346 PM CDT Sat May 11 2024 /246 PM MDT Sat May 11 2024/
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Clear Clear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 51 (-6) 79 (+8) 51 80
RH % (24h trend) 91 (+13) 8 (-36) 33 11
Wind 20ft/early(mph) E 16 W 12 W 24 NW 9
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SE 9 W 28 W 14 W 13
LAL 2 1 1 1
Haines Index 5 5 5 4
Wind 10000 FT MSL 23 33 33 18
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 9990 13600
Transport Wnd (kts) W 32 NW 14
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 319680 190400
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 0 6 6 1
RFTI Category Nil Critical Critical Elevated
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Highs around 80.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest winds
10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid
70s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. West winds
around 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs around 80.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southwest winds
around 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
10 to 15 mph.
$$
TXZ272-273-275>282-121000-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson County-
Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains-
Davis Mountains Foothills-Central Brewster County-Chisos Basin-
Presidio Valley-Lower Brewster County-
Including the cities of Van Horn, Marfa, Fort Davis, Alpine,
Big Bend National Park, Panther Junction, Marathon, Chisos Basin,
Presidio, Lajitas, and Castolon
346 PM CDT Sat May 11 2024
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Clear
Precip Type Tstms None None None
Chance Precip (%) 40 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 55 (-8) 92 (+8) 53 91
RH % (24h trend) 95 (+17) 6 (-29) 31 6
Wind 20ft/early(mph) E 14 W 8 NW 14 NW 8
Wind 20ft/late(mph) E 8 W 18 NW 9 NW 11
LAL 3 1 1 1
Haines Index 6 5 6 4
Wind 10000 FT MSL 25 27 32 24
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 11350 14180
Transport Wnd (kts) W 26 NW 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 295100 226880
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 0 5 5 2
RFTI Category Nil Critical Critical Elevated
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs around 90.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North winds
around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs around 90. Minimum
relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Northeast winds around
15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Highs in the upper 80s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs around 90.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North winds
10 to 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. South
winds around 10 mph.
$$
TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082-274-121000-
Gaines-Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-Loving-
Winkler-Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos-
Terrell-Reeves County Plains-
Including the cities of Seminole, Lamesa, Gail, Snyder, Andrews,
Stanton, Big Spring, Colorado City, Mentone, Kermit, Odessa,
Midland, Garden City, Monahans, Crane, McCamey, Rankin, Big Lake,
Fort Stockton, Dryden, Sanderson, and Pecos
346 PM CDT Sat May 11 2024
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Clear
Precip Type Tstms Tstms None None
Chance Precip (%) 50 10 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 59 (-4) 91 (+17) 55 89
RH % (24h trend) 100 (+34) 6 (-45) 82 13
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SE 12 S 8 W 11 NW 8
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SE 10 W 14 W 7 N 9
LAL 3 3 1 1
Haines Index 4 5 6 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 22 29 35 25
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 11470 11860
Transport Wnd (kts) SW 25 NW 18
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 286750 213480
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 0 4 4 0
RFTI Category Nil Near Crit Near Crit Nil
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
lower 90s. Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Southeast winds
around 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. South winds around
15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. South
winds around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. South
winds 10 to 15 mph.
$$