Area Forecast Discussion Issued by NWS
000
FXUS62 KTAE 231532
AFDTAE
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
1132 AM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024
...New UPDATE...
.UPDATE...
Issued at 1130 AM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024
Forecast is on track and little changes were needed. Plenty of
sunshine under high pressure and highs in the 70s.
&&
.NEAR TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 506 AM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024
High pressure dominates the region for today with warming
temperatures into the upper 70s and low 80s with light surface
winds becoming southerly by this afternoon and evening; and zonal
flow aloft. The sea breeze may develop and move towards Panama
City this afternoon. Overnight temperatures will be in the low
50s. It`ll be another chance for radiational cooling as we will
have clear skies and light winds again but, not as cool as the
previous night.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
&&
.LONG TERM...
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 646 AM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024
Easterly winds this morning will shift to southerly by late this
afternoon, keeping speeds of 5-10kts. VFR cigs are expected to
prevail through the TAF period. Winds are expected to go calm
during the overnight hours.
&&
.MARINE...
Issued at 506 AM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024
Moderate easterly become gentle today, with winds becoming more
light and variable for Wednesday. This will lead to subsiding seas
and tranquil boating conditions. By mid to late week winds teeter
between easterly and southerly. Winds are expected increase this
weekend as the pressure gradient tightens.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 506 AM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024
Lighter transport winds will lead to fairer dispersions for the next
few days. Mixing heights are still expected to exceed 5500 feet but
elevated dispersions are not expected. MinRH values will be in the
low 30s and upper 20s for today, and gradually increase to the upper
30s and low 40s through the rest of the period. There are minimal
chances for a wetting rain over the next several days.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...
Issued at 506 AM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024
Minor river flooding continues along the St. Marks, Aucilla, lower
Withlacoochee, and lower and middle Suwannee Rivers. The St.
Marks, Aucilla, and Withlacoochee have crested and are falling.
The flood wave is just now reaching Luraville and will continue
proceeding downstream over the next several days. No rainfall is
anticipated, and no additional flood concerns are expected.
&&
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always
encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they
occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Tallahassee 78 52 82 58 / 0 0 0 0
Panama City 75 56 79 61 / 0 0 0 0
Dothan 76 51 81 58 / 0 0 0 0
Albany 75 50 80 58 / 0 0 0 0
Valdosta 77 52 81 58 / 0 0 0 0
Cross City 79 52 81 55 / 0 0 0 0
Apalachicola 71 57 75 61 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...High Rip Current Risk until 11 PM EDT this evening for FLZ115.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.
&&
$$
NEAR TERM...Montgomery
SHORT TERM...KR
LONG TERM....KR
AVIATION...Montgomery
MARINE...KR
FIRE WEATHER...Montgomery
HYDROLOGY...Young