Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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FXUS64 KAMA 170853
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
353 AM CDT Wed Jul 17 2019

.DISCUSSION...
Hot temperatures will continue to be the story through at least
Saturday, possibly Sunday. Isolated to scattered storm potential
will be there today, storms should not be severe, although there
could be some strong wind gusts out of them. Best chances of
widespread precipitation look to return Sunday into Monday as a
frontal system is expected to move through. Temperatures across
the Panhandles should be back in the mid 80s to mid 90s by late
weekend to early next week.

Today, upper level ridge will shift to the east with return flow
from the south. Residual outflow boundaries from last nights
storms in combination with strong daytime heating as well as a
weak disturbance in the upper level flow could trigger some storms
this afternoon/evening, mainly along the western Panhandles.
Temperatures will be pretty close to yesterday`s highs, but may
fall a degree or two short.

Thursday through Saturday. Very hot temperatures will be in store
for the Panhandles. 850mb temperatures will be upwards of almost
35C across the central and western Panhandles. Given the 850mb
temperatures in the low 30C range yesterday that brought about
100-105 temperatures across much of these areas, it`s not out of
the question that some areas, especially if we have a heat index,
to reach 110+ degrees.

New ridge of high pressure will begin to amplify over the Four
Corners region as cooler air from a system over the Great Lakes
provides cooler air to the Panhandles and eastern CONUS. Front
looks to move through during the Sunday evening time period to
Monday afternoon time period. Storms are expected to develop along
this front, and therefore there`s a chance across all of the
Panhandles Sunday and Monday.

Weber

&&

.AVIATION...06z TAFS...
Mainly VFR conditions are expected throughout the 06Z TAF period.
Thunderstorms are currently near KAMA/KDHT where brief MVFR
conditions due to heavy rain and gusty wind a re possible for the
the first hour of the TAF period. But conditions should return to
VFR around 08Z through the early afternoon hours on Wednesday.
PROB30 group has been introduced starting around 21Z for KDHT for
additional thunderstorms with VFR conditions elsewhere. Winds
will be out south and south-southwest at 10-15 kts with some gusts
up to 20 kts at times before diminish around 10 kts after 00Z
Thursday.

Meccariello

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Amarillo TX                98  73 104  73 105 /   5  10   5   5   0
Beaver OK                 102  75 104  75 104 /   5  10   5   5   0
Boise City OK              97  68 105  68 106 /  20  30   5   5   5
Borger TX                 100  76 104  76 105 /   5  10   5   5   0
Boys Ranch TX              98  73 105  73 106 /   5  20   5  10   0
Canyon TX                  97  72 103  71 104 /   5  10   5   5   0
Clarendon TX               97  75 105  74 105 /   5   5   0   5   0
Dalhart TX                 99  67 107  68 108 /  20  30   5   5   0
Guymon OK                 102  72 107  73 108 /   5  20   5   5   0
Hereford TX                97  71 104  71 105 /   5  20   0   5   0
Lipscomb TX               100  77 104  76 104 /   5   5   0   5   0
Pampa TX                   97  74 101  74 102 /   5   5   5   5   0
Shamrock TX                97  75 106  75 106 /   0   5   0   5   0
Wellington TX              99  76 107  76 107 /   0   5   0   5   0

&&

.AMA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
TX...None.
OK...None.

&&

$$

89/29


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