Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

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FXUS63 KOAX 151109
AFDOAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
609 AM CDT Sun Sep 15 2019

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Tuesday)
Issued at 250 AM CDT Sun Sep 15 2019

A few storms were able to bubble up overnight across residual
boundaries, as the low level jet promoted lift across the region.
Convection quickly moved east of the forecast area around 2 AM this
morning. High pressure will build in at the surface behind the
departing showers and storms today, as a ridge begins to build over
the region aloft. Clearing skies and light winds will lead to some
patchy dense fog across the area this morning, with the best chance
generally along and north of the Platte River. Skies are expected to
remain mostly sunny today, allowing for dry, yet hot and humid
conditions to prevail. Highs will climb into the upper 80s to low
90s, with dewpoints well into the mid to upper 60s.  The ridge of
high pressure will remain over the forecast area through the
majority of the day, Monday, maintaining dry conditions, before
shifting off to our east Monday evening and overnight. Temperatures
will only dip into the mid to upper 60s Sunday night, before
climbing back into the upper 80s and low 90s once again tomorrow.

A weak disturbance will ripple through the southwesterly upper level
flow Monday night, brining a small chance for a few showers and
storms to the region as the low level jet intensifies Monday night.
However, the vast majority of the forecast area should remain dry.
Dry weather is expected to continue through Tuesday with highs
remaining well above normal, in the upper 80s/low 90s.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday night through Saturday)
Issued at 250 AM CDT Sun Sep 15 2019

Tuesday night, a strong upper low will eject northeast, from eastern
Montana through North Dakota. At the surface, this system will push
a cold front through the region, bringing a chance for showers and
storms. Another upper trough will dig into the western CONUS
following this system next week, bringing several chances for
precipitation to the area through the extended period. While highs
are expected to top out above normal through the majority of the
coming week, temperatures should generally cool over the next
several days, only reaching the upper 70s and low 80s by next
weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Monday morning)
Issued at 605 AM CDT Sun Sep 15 2019

VFR conditions are expected for much of the TAF cycle with surface
winds primarily out of the south. Some visibility reductions are
noted at KOFK and this could conitinue for a bit after sunrise.
Otherwise, quiet conditions are expected through the period.

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
IA...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...KG
LONG TERM...KG
AVIATION...Kern


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