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Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL
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000
FXUS62 KTBW 200533
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
133 AM EDT Sat Apr 20 2019

.AVIATION...
20/06Z TAFs. VFR with a SCT LCL BKN deck AOA 5K. W winds become NW
and remain gusty. A rouge SHRA/RA may track near/over the terminals
but with little impact.

&&

.Prev Discussion... /issued 745 PM EDT Fri Apr 19 2019/

UPDATE...
After a busy day of severe thunderstorms racing across the
area, the last few lingering showers are pushing east out of
southwest Florida ahead of the advancing cold front. Early
evening water vapor satellite imagery is showing a much
drier air mass aloft filling in behind the cold front,
although some low level moisture will allow scattered to
broken low clouds to remain overnight. Winds are starting to
subside from the extreme levels seen earlier today, but
expect winds to remain gusty overnight and pick back up on
Saturday.

A few adjustments were made to the rain chances,
temperatures, dew points, and sky cover forecasts for the
overnight period to keep up with recent radar and
observation trends. Otherwise, the forecast looks on track
for a breezy but mild start to the weekend.

MARINE...
Gusty west winds will subside slightly, but remain around
20 knots with seas of 7-10 feet overnight as the cold front
pushes southeast through the waters. Advisory level
conditions are expected to continue over the Gulf waters
through the day on Saturday, then conditions will continue
to improve Saturday night through early next week as high
pressure builds in from the west.

&&

.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...
TPA  81  63  73  59 / 100  10  20   0
FMY  83  65  76  59 / 100  40  10   0
GIF  84  60  73  54 / 100  20  10   0
SRQ  80  64  74  59 / 100  10  20   0
BKV  82  59  73  54 / 100  10  20   0
SPG  79  64  74  60 / 100  10  20   0

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...High Rip Current Risk through Sunday afternoon for Coastal
     Charlotte-Coastal Hillsborough-Coastal Lee-Coastal
     Manatee-Coastal Sarasota-Pinellas.

     High Surf Advisory until 10 PM EDT Saturday for Coastal
     Charlotte-Coastal Hillsborough-Coastal Lee-Coastal
     Manatee-Coastal Sarasota-Pinellas.

Gulf waters...Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EDT Saturday for Coastal
     waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 NM-
     Coastal waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL
     out 20 NM-Coastal waters from Tarpon Springs to
     Suwannee River FL out 20 NM-Waters from Bonita Beach
     to Englewood FL out 20 to 60 NM-Waters from Englewood
     to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 to 60 NM-Waters from
     Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 to 60 NM.

     Small Craft Advisory until 1 AM EDT Saturday for Charlotte
     Harbor and Pine Island Sound-Tampa Bay waters.

&&

$$

AVIATION...09/Rude
UPDATE/MARINE...18/Fleming
National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office
