Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN

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FXUS64 KOHX 272050
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
350 PM CDT Sun May 27 2018

.DISCUSSION...

This afternoon, Subtropical Storm Alberto was churning slowly
northward across the eastern Gulf of Mexico, throwing a shroud of
high clouds as far north as Middle Tennessee. In addition, our
radarscope was, once again, looking pretty summer-like, with
scattered thunderstorms developing and drifting southwestward.
Mid-afternoon temperatures were int he middle 70s to lower 80s
along the Cumberland Plateau, and in the middle and upper 80s
elsewhere.

So far, Alberto appears to be a well-behaved storm insofar as its
forecast movement is concerned. We will expect the low pressure
center to reach northern Alabama by late Tuesday afternoon, then
track across Middle Tennessee Tuesday night and push into Kentucky
by Wednesday morning. The ESF has been updated to mention the
rainfall amounts we`re anticipating from the storm, generally
ranging from between two and three inches west, to between one
and two inches east. Locally higher amounts, of course, can be
expected, which could lead to some localized flood problems by
Tuesday night and Wednesday morning.

Before Alberto arrives, however, we`re looking at another typical
summer day on Memorial Day, with scattered mainly afternoon
thunderstorms.

We remain in a marginal outlook for severe thunderstorms on
Tuesday and Tuesday night, as the remnants of Alberto move
through. As will almost all tropical systems, there will be at
least a small chance for a few spin-up tornadoes, along with the
heavy downpours.

After Alberto departs, our weather will be unsettled, with a
chance of showers and thunderstorms as we head through late week.
By next weekend, however, we may actually get back into a less
showery pattern, with high temperatures pushing back into the
upper 80s to around 90 in most areas west of the Cumberland
Plateau.





&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF DISCUSSION.

Repeat of the past several days with scattered afternoon
thunderstorms developing across much of the area particularly
across the Crossville area and other portions of the Cumberland
Plateau. Coverage further west, including the Nashville metro,
will be more scattered and not as widespread as it was on
Saturday. Rain and a few storms will spread in from the southeast
later on Monday in advance of Alberto.

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION......19
AVIATION........Hawblitzel



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